Bayesian collective learning emerges from heuristic social learning.

Researchers across cognitive science, economics, and evolutionary biology have studied the ubiquitous phenomenon of social learning-the use of information about other people's decisions to make your own. Decision-making with the benefit of the accumulated knowledge of a community can result in super...

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Publicado en:Cognition Vol. 212
Autores principales: Krafft, P.M., Shmueli, Erez, Griffiths, Thomas L., Tenenbaum, Joshua B., Pentland, Alex "Sandy"
Formato: research Journal Article
Publicado: Elsevier B.V. Jul2021
Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
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      dt: Jul2021
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      pub: Elsevier B.V.
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        10.1016/j.cognition.2020.104469
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        atl: Bayesian collective learning emerges from heuristic social learning.
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          Krafft, P.M.
          Shmueli, Erez
          Griffiths, Thomas L.
          Tenenbaum, Joshua B.
          Pentland, Alex "Sandy"
        affil: Creative Computing Institute, University of Arts London, London, England, United Kingdom
      sug:
        subj:
          Probability
          Decision Making
          Human
          Learning
      ab: Researchers across cognitive science, economics, and evolutionary biology have studied the ubiquitous phenomenon of social learning-the use of information about other people's decisions to make your own. Decision-making with the benefit of the accumulated knowledge of a community can result in superior decisions compared to what people can achieve alone. However, groups of people face two coupled challenges in accumulating knowledge to make good decisions: (1) aggregating information and (2) addressing an informational public goods problem known as the exploration-exploitation dilemma. Here, we show how a Bayesian social sampling model can in principle simultaneously optimally aggregate information and nearly optimally solve the exploration-exploitation dilemma. The key idea we explore is that Bayesian rationality at the level of a population can be implemented through a more simplistic heuristic social learning mechanism at the individual level. This simple individual-level behavioral rule in the context of a group of decision-makers functions as a distributed algorithm that tracks a Bayesian posterior in population-level statistics. We test this model using a large-scale dataset from an online financial trading platform.
      pubtype: Academic Journal
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        research
        Journal Article
      ougenre: Article
    language: English
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