Measuring Ex Ante Welfare in Insurance Markets.

The willingness to pay for insurance captures the value of insurance against only the risk that remains when choices are observed. This article develops tools to measure the ex ante expected utility impact of insurance subsidies and mandates when choices are observed after some insurable information...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Review of Economic Studies Vol. 88; no. 3; pp. 1193 - 1224
Main Author: Hendren, Nathaniel
Format: Article
Published: Oxford University Press / USA May2021
Subjects:
Online Access:View this record in EBSCOhost
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      dt: May2021
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      pub: Oxford University Press / USA
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        atl: Measuring Ex Ante Welfare in Insurance Markets.
      aug:
        au: Hendren, Nathaniel
        affil: Harvard University
      su:
        Massachusetts
        Insurance
        Health insurance exchanges
        Willingness to pay
        Value capture
        Cost estimates
      sug:
        subj:
          Insurance
          Massachusetts
          Other Insurance Funds
          All Other Insurance Related Activities
          Third Party Administration of Insurance and Pension Funds
          Health insurance exchanges
          Willingness to pay
          Value capture
          Cost estimates
      ab: The willingness to pay for insurance captures the value of insurance against only the risk that remains when choices are observed. This article develops tools to measure the ex ante expected utility impact of insurance subsidies and mandates when choices are observed after some insurable information is revealed. The approach retains the transparency of using reduced-form willingness to pay and cost curves, but it adds one additional sufficient statistic: the percentage difference in marginal utilities between insured and uninsured. I provide an approach to estimate this additional statistic that uses only the reduced-form willingness to pay curve, combined with a measure of risk aversion. I compare the approach to structural approaches that require fully specifying the choice environment and information sets of individuals. I apply the approach using existing willingness to pay and cost curve estimates from the low-income health insurance exchange in Massachusetts. Ex ante optimal insurance prices are roughly 30% lower than prices that maximize observed market surplus. While mandates reduce market surplus, the results suggest they would actually increase ex ante expected utility.
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      src: R
    language: English
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