Modeling Time to Death of Patients with Multidrug-Resistant Tuberculosis at Saint Peter's Specialized Hospital.

Background: Currently, the worldwide prevalence and incidence of multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB) is drastically increasing. The main objective of this study was modeling the time-to-death of patients with MDR-TB at St. Peter's Specialized Hospital, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia, by using various p...

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Publicado en:Journal of Research in Health Sciences Vol. 21; no. 2; pp. 1 - 9
Autores principales: Wotale, Teramaj Wongel, Terefe, Abiyot Negash, Fufa, Jaleta Abdisa
Formato: equations & formulas research tables/charts Journal Article
Publicado: Hamadan University of Medical Sciences, School of Public Health Spring2021
Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
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      dt: Spring2021
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      pub: Hamadan University of Medical Sciences, School of Public Health
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        atl: Modeling Time to Death of Patients with Multidrug-Resistant Tuberculosis at Saint Peter's Specialized Hospital.
      aug:
        au:
          Wotale, Teramaj Wongel
          Terefe, Abiyot Negash
          Fufa, Jaleta Abdisa
      sug:
        subj:
          Tuberculosis, Multidrug-Resistant
          Hospitals, Special Ethiopia
          Time
          Death
          Human
          Retrospective Design
          Rural Areas
          Descriptive Statistics
          Ethiopia
      ab: Background: Currently, the worldwide prevalence and incidence of multidrug-resistant tuberculosis (MDR-TB) is drastically increasing. The main objective of this study was modeling the time-to-death of patients with MDR-TB at St. Peter's Specialized Hospital, Addis Ababa, Ethiopia, by using various parametric shared frailty models. Study Design: A retrospective study design was used. Methods: The study population was TB patients with MDR at St. Peter's Specialized Hospital from January 2016 through December 2019. Exponential, Weibull, and log-normal were used as baseline hazard functions with the gamma and inverse Gaussian frailty distributions. All the models were compared based on Akaike's Information Criteria. Results: The overall median time to death was 11 months and 123 (33.5%) patients died. Patients who lived in rural areas had shorter survival time than those who lived in urban areas with an accelerated factor of 0.135 (P=0.002). Patients with a history of anti-TB drug consumption had a short survival time than those without such a history with an accelerated factor of 0.02 (P=0.001). The variability (heterogeneity) of time to death of patients in the region for the selected model (Weibull-inverse Gaussian shared frailty model) was θ=0.144 (P=0.027). Conclusion: The MDR-TB patients with weight gain, khat and alcohol consumption, clinical complication of pneumothorax and pneumonia, extrapulmonary TB, and history of anti-TB drug consumption as well as those who lived in rural areas had a shorter survival time, compared to others. There was a significant heterogeneity effect in the St. Peter's Specialized Hospital. The best model for predicting the time to death of MDR-TB patients was Weibull-inverse Gaussian shared frailty model.
      pubtype: Academic Journal
      doctype:
        equations & formulas
        research
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        Journal Article
      ougenre: Article
    language: English
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