Global, regional, and national estimates and trends in stillbirths from 2000 to 2019: a systematic assessment.
Background: Stillbirths are a major public health issue and a sensitive marker of the quality of care around pregnancy and birth. The UN Global Strategy for Women's, Children's and Adolescents' Health (2016-30) and the Every Newborn Action Plan (led by UNICEF and WHO) call for an end to preventable...
| Publicado en: | Lancet Vol. 398; no. 10302; pp. 772 - 786 |
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| Autores principales: | , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , , |
| Formato: | research Journal Article |
| Publicado: |
Lancet
8/28/2021
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| Acceso en línea: | Ver este registro en EBSCOhost |
| fields | @attributes: recordID: 1 pdfLink: plink: https://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&db=ccm&AN=152100429&site=ehost-live header: @attributes: shortDbName: ccm uiTerm: 152100429 longDbName: CINAHL Complete uiTag: AN controlInfo: bkinfo: dissinfo: jinfo: jid: 01406736 LAN jtl: Lancet issn: 01406736 maglogo: N pubinfo: dt: 8/28/2021 vid: 398 iid: 10302 pid: 1297 pub: Lancet place: Philadelphia, Pennsylvania artinfo: ui: 152100429 152100429 NLM34454675 152100429 10.1016/S0140-6736(21)01112-0 NLM34454675 152100429 ppf: 772 ppct: 14 formats: tig: atl: Global, regional, and national estimates and trends in stillbirths from 2000 to 2019: a systematic assessment. aug: au: Hug, Lucia You, Danzhen Blencowe, Hannah Mishra, Anu Wang, Zhengfan Fix, Miranda J Wakefield, Jon Moran, Allisyn C Gaigbe-Togbe, Victor Suzuki, Emi Blau, Dianna M Cousens, Simon Creanga, Andreea Croft, Trevor Hill, Kenneth Joseph, K S Maswime, Salome McClure, Elizabeth M Pattinson, Robert Pedersen, Jon affil: Division of Data, Analytics, Planning and Monitoring, UNICEF, New York, NY, USA sug: subj: World Health Infant Mortality Trends Perinatal Death Epidemiology Infant Models, Statistical Female Gestational Age Infant, Newborn Pregnancy Comparative Studies Multicenter Studies Evaluation Research Validation Studies Human Infant: 1-23 months Infant, Newborn: birth-1 month Female ab: Background: Stillbirths are a major public health issue and a sensitive marker of the quality of care around pregnancy and birth. The UN Global Strategy for Women's, Children's and Adolescents' Health (2016-30) and the Every Newborn Action Plan (led by UNICEF and WHO) call for an end to preventable stillbirths. A first step to prevent stillbirths is obtaining standardised measurement of stillbirth rates across countries. We estimated stillbirth rates and their trends for 195 countries from 2000 to 2019 and assessed progress over time.Methods: For a systematic assessment, we created a dataset of 2833 country-year datapoints from 171 countries relevant to stillbirth rates, including data from registration and health information systems, household-based surveys, and population-based studies. After data quality assessment and exclusions, we used 1531 datapoints to estimate country-specific stillbirth rates for 195 countries from 2000 to 2019 using a Bayesian hierarchical temporal sparse regression model, according to a definition of stillbirth of at least 28 weeks' gestational age. Our model combined covariates with a temporal smoothing process such that estimates were informed by data for country-periods with high quality data, while being based on covariates for country-periods with little or no data on stillbirth rates. Bias and additional uncertainty associated with observations based on alternative stillbirth definitions and source types, and observations that were subject to non-sampling errors, were included in the model. We compared the estimated stillbirth rates and trends to previously reported mortality estimates in children younger than 5 years.Findings: Globally in 2019, an estimated 2·0 million babies (90% uncertainty interval [UI] 1·9-2·2) were stillborn at 28 weeks or more of gestation, with a global stillbirth rate of 13·9 stillbirths (90% UI 13·5-15·4) per 1000 total births. Stillbirth rates in 2019 varied widely across regions, from 22·8 stillbirths (19·8-27·7) per 1000 total births in west and central Africa to 2·9 (2·7-3·0) in western Europe. After west and central Africa, eastern and southern Africa and south Asia had the second and third highest stillbirth rates in 2019. The global annual rate of reduction in stillbirth rate was estimated at 2·3% (90% UI 1·7-2·7) from 2000 to 2019, which was lower than the 2·9% (2·5-3·2) annual rate of reduction in neonatal mortality rate (for neonates aged <28 days) and the 4·3% (3·8-4·7) annual rate of reduction in mortality rate among children aged 1-59 months during the same period. Based on the lower bound of the 90% UIs, 114 countries had an estimated decrease in stillbirth rate since 2000, with four countries having a decrease of at least 50·0%, 28 having a decrease of 25·0-49·9%, 50 having a decrease of 10·0-24·9%, and 32 having a decrease of less than 10·0%. For the remaining 81 countries, we found no decrease in stillbirth rate since 2000. Of these countries, 34 were in sub-Saharan Africa, 16 were in east Asia and the Pacific, and 15 were in Latin America and the Caribbean.Interpretation: Progress in reducing the rate of stillbirths has been slow compared with decreases in the mortality rate of children younger than 5 years. Accelerated improvements are most needed in the regions and countries with high stillbirth rates, particularly in sub-Saharan Africa. Future prevention of stillbirths needs increased efforts to raise public awareness, improve data collection, assess progress, and understand public health priorities locally, all of which require investment.Funding: Bill & Melinda Gates Foundation and the UK Foreign, Commonwealth and Development Office. pubtype: Academic Journal doctype: research Journal Article ougenre: Article language: English refInfo: holdings: @attributes: islocal: N |
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