impact of a COVID-19 lockdown on work productivity under good and poor compliance.
Background In response to the COVID-19 pandemic, governments across the globe have imposed strict social distancing measures. Public compliance to such measures is essential for their success, yet the economic consequences of compliance are unknown. This is the first study to analyze the effects of...
| Publicado en: | European Journal of Public Health Vol. 31; no. 5; pp. 1009 - 1016 |
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| Autores principales: | , , , , , , , , , |
| Formato: | research tables/charts Journal Article |
| Publicado: |
Oxford University Press / USA
Oct2021
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| Acceso en línea: | Ver este registro en EBSCOhost |
| fields | @attributes: recordID: 1 pdfLink: plink: https://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&db=ccm&AN=153223753&site=ehost-live header: @attributes: shortDbName: ccm uiTerm: 153223753 longDbName: CINAHL Complete uiTag: AN controlInfo: bkinfo: dissinfo: jinfo: jid: 11011262 BHW jtl: European Journal of Public Health issn: 11011262 maglogo: N pubinfo: dt: Oct2021 vid: 31 iid: 5 pid: 622 pub: Oxford University Press / USA artinfo: ui: 153223753 153223753 153223753 10.1093/eurpub/ckab138 153223753 ppf: 1009 ppct: 7 formats: fmt: – @attributes: type: T – @attributes: type: P tig: atl: impact of a COVID-19 lockdown on work productivity under good and poor compliance. aug: au: Ohrnberger, Julius Segal, Alexa Blair Forchini, Giovanni Miraldo, Marisa Skarp, Janetta Nedjati-Gilani, Gemma Laydon, Daniel J Ghani, Azra Ferguson, Neil M Hauck, Katharina affil: School of Public Health, MRC Centre for Global Infectious Disease Analysis, Imperial College London , London, UK sug: subj: COVID-19 Complications Stay-at-Home Orders Adverse Effects Productivity Work Environment Patient Compliance Human Social Distancing United Kingdom COVID-19 Mortality Morbidity Descriptive Statistics ab: Background In response to the COVID-19 pandemic, governments across the globe have imposed strict social distancing measures. Public compliance to such measures is essential for their success, yet the economic consequences of compliance are unknown. This is the first study to analyze the effects of good compliance compared with poor compliance to a COVID-19 suppression strategy (i.e. lockdown) on work productivity. Methods We estimate the differences in work productivity comparing a scenario of good compliance with one of poor compliance to the UK government COVID-19 suppression strategy. We use projections of the impact of the UK suppression strategy on mortality and morbidity from an individual-based epidemiological model combined with an economic model representative of the labour force in Wales and England. Results We find that productivity effects of good compliance significantly exceed those of poor compliance and increase with the duration of the lockdown. After 3 months of the lockdown, work productivity in good compliance is £398.58 million higher compared with that of poor compliance; 75% of the differences is explained by productivity effects due to morbidity and non-health reasons and 25% attributed to avoided losses due to pre-mature mortality. Conclusion Good compliance to social distancing measures exceeds positive economic effects, in addition to health benefits. This is an important finding for current economic and health policy. It highlights the importance to set clear guidelines for the public, to build trust and support for the rules and if necessary, to enforce good compliance to social distancing measures. pubtype: Academic Journal doctype: research tables/charts Journal Article ougenre: Article language: English refInfo: holdings: @attributes: islocal: N |
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