The role of ambient parameters on transmission rates of the COVID-19 outbreak: A machine learning model.

BACKGROUND: In recent years the relationship between ambient air temperature and the prevalence of viral infection has been under investigation. OBJECTIVE: The study was aimed at providing the statistical and machine learning-based analysis to investigate the influence of climatic factors on frequen...

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Publicado en:Work Vol. 70; no. 2; pp. 377 - 386
Autores principales: Jamshidnezhad, Amir, Hosseini, Seyed Ahmad, Ghavamabadi, Leila Ibrahimi, Marashi, Seyed Mahdi Hossaeini, Mousavi, Hediye, Zilae, Marzieh, Dehaghi, Behzad Fouladi
Formato: equations & formulas research tables/charts Journal Article
Publicado: Sage Publications Inc. 2021
Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
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        atl: The role of ambient parameters on transmission rates of the COVID-19 outbreak: A machine learning model.
      aug:
        au:
          Jamshidnezhad, Amir
          Hosseini, Seyed Ahmad
          Ghavamabadi, Leila Ibrahimi
          Marashi, Seyed Mahdi Hossaeini
          Mousavi, Hediye
          Zilae, Marzieh
          Dehaghi, Behzad Fouladi
        affil: Department of Health Information Technology, School of Allied Medical Sciences, Ahvaz Jundishapur University of Medical Sciences, Ahvaz, Iran
      sug:
        subj:
          COVID-19 Transmission
          COVID-19 Pandemic Iran
          Machine Learning
          Climate
          Human
          Iran
          Neural Networks (Computer)
          Environment
          Temperature
          Humidity
          Funding Source
          Pearson's Correlation Coefficient
          Multiple Regression
          Data Analysis Software
      ab: BACKGROUND: In recent years the relationship between ambient air temperature and the prevalence of viral infection has been under investigation. OBJECTIVE: The study was aimed at providing the statistical and machine learning-based analysis to investigate the influence of climatic factors on frequency of COVID-19 confirmed cases in Iran. METHOD: The data of confirmed cases of COVID-19 and some climatic factors related to 31 provinces of Iran between 04/03/2020 and 05/05/2020 was gathered from official resources. In order to investigate the important climatic factors on the frequency of confirmed cases of COVID-19 in all studied cities, a model based on an artificial neural network (ANN) was developed. RESULTS: The proposed ANN model showed accuracy rates of 87.25%and 86.4%in the training and testing stage, respectively, for classification of COVID-19 confirmed cases. The results showed that in the city of Ahvaz, despite the increase in temperature, the coefficient of determination R2 has been increasing. CONCLUSION: This study clearly showed that, with increasing outdoor temperature, the use of air conditioning systems to set a comfort zone temperature is unavoidable. Thus, the number of positive cases of COVID-19 increases. Also, this study shows the role of closed-air cycle condition in the indoor environment of tropical cities.
      pubtype: Academic Journal
      doctype:
        equations & formulas
        research
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      ougenre: Article
    language: English
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