Public Opinion and Crisis Behavior in a Nuclearized South Asia.

Research on public opinion and crisis behavior has focused largely on pressures felt by leaders who have initiated a crisis, not on leaders in target states responding to adversary provocation. Our survey experiment involving 1,823 respondents in Punjab, Pakistan, finds public support for escalating...

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Publicado en:International Studies Quarterly Vol. 65; no. 4; pp. 1064 - 1077
Autores principales: Clary, Christopher, Lalwani, Sameer, Siddiqui, Niloufer
Formato: Artículo
Publicado: Oxford University Press / USA Dec2021
Materias:
Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
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        atl: Public Opinion and Crisis Behavior in a Nuclearized South Asia.
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          Clary, Christopher
          Lalwani, Sameer
          Siddiqui, Niloufer
        affil:
          University at Albany—State University of New York , USA
          Stimson Center , USA
      su:
        Punjab (Pakistan)
        South Asia
        Public support
        Crises
        Nuclear weapons
        Escalation (Military science)
        Leaders
      sug:
        subj:
          Public support
          Crises
          Nuclear weapons
          Punjab (Pakistan)
          South Asia
          Escalation (Military science)
          Leaders
      ab: Research on public opinion and crisis behavior has focused largely on pressures felt by leaders who have initiated a crisis, not on leaders in target states responding to adversary provocation. Our survey experiment involving 1,823 respondents in Punjab, Pakistan, finds public support for escalating rather than de-escalating in response to such provocation. It shows how public pressures can encourage conflict even in instances where a leader has engaged in no prior effort to generate audience costs following crisis onset. Survey respondents were more likely to support escalatory decisions if they were made by a military, rather than civilian, leader, although we do not find that military leaders receive more support in de-escalatory decisions. Finally, while we demonstrate that leaders can mitigate the costs of de-escalating by highlighting the dangers of conflict, they still incur opportunity costs in foregone public support when they opt to de-escalate rather than escalate a crisis.
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    language: English
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