Predictive risk modelling and the mistaken equation of socio-economic disadvantage with risk of maltreatment.

In England, the involvement of the state in private family life has significantly changed since 1989, and is about to undergo yet further transformation with the adoption of predictive risk modelling. Its implementation by at least eight local authorities and promotion by the central government oper...

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Publicado en:British Journal of Social Work Vol. 51; no. 8; pp. 3153 - 3172
Autor principal: Ducasse, Hélène Vannier
Formato: research tables/charts Journal Article
Publicado: Oxford University Press / USA Dec2021
Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
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      dt: Dec2021
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      pub: Oxford University Press / USA
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        atl: Predictive risk modelling and the mistaken equation of socio-economic disadvantage with risk of maltreatment.
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        au: Ducasse, Hélène Vannier
        affil: London , UK
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        subj:
          Child Welfare England
          Child Abuse Risk Factors
          Risk Assessment Methods
          Prediction Models Utilization
          Socioeconomic Factors
          Human
          England
          Poverty
          Discrimination
          Program Implementation
          Algorithms
          Parents Psychosocial Factors
          Predictive Validity
          Stigma
      ab: In England, the involvement of the state in private family life has significantly changed since 1989, and is about to undergo yet further transformation with the adoption of predictive risk modelling. Its implementation by at least eight local authorities and promotion by the central government operates an ontological and methodological revolution in child protection policies and practice. This article particularly discusses the conceptual and empirical limits to their use. It makes the case that the data fed to risk models, and the institutional structures through which they are run, limit the understanding of maltreatment. Based on misleading evidence, risk models are set to mistakenly equate socio-economic disadvantage with risks, thus threatening to automatise the discrimination and alienation of the poorest sections of the population.
      pubtype: Academic Journal
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    language: English
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