Is Infidelity Predictable? Using Explainable Machine Learning to Identify the Most Important Predictors of Infidelity.

Infidelity can be a disruptive event in a romantic relationship with a devastating impact on both partners' well-being. Thus, there are benefits to identifying factors that can explain or predict infidelity, but prior research has not utilized methods that would provide the relative importance of ea...

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Publicado en:Journal of Sex Research Vol. 59; no. 2; pp. 224 - 238
Autores principales: Vowels, Laura M., Vowels, Matthew J., Mark, Kristen P.
Formato: Artículo
Publicado: Taylor & Francis Ltd Feb 2022
Materias:
Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
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      dt: Feb 2022
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      pub: Taylor & Francis Ltd
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        10.1080/00224499.2021.1967846
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        atl: Is Infidelity Predictable? Using Explainable Machine Learning to Identify the Most Important Predictors of Infidelity.
      aug:
        au:
          Vowels, Laura M.
          Vowels, Matthew J.
          Mark, Kristen P.
        affil:
          Department of Psychology, University of Lausanne
          Centre for Computer Vision, Speech and Signal Processing (CVSSP), University of Surrey
          Department of Family Medicine and Community Health, University of Minnesota
      su:
        Infidelity (Couples)
        Man-woman relationships
        Machine learning
        Random forest algorithms
        Effect sizes (Statistics)
        Decision trees
      sug:
        subj:
          Infidelity (Couples)
          Man-woman relationships
          Machine learning
          Random forest algorithms
          Effect sizes (Statistics)
          Decision trees
      ab: Infidelity can be a disruptive event in a romantic relationship with a devastating impact on both partners' well-being. Thus, there are benefits to identifying factors that can explain or predict infidelity, but prior research has not utilized methods that would provide the relative importance of each predictor. We used a machine learning algorithm, random forest (a type of interpretable highly non-linear decision tree), to predict in-person and online infidelity across two studies (one individual and one dyadic, N = 1,295). We also used a game theoretic explanation technique, Shapley values, which allowed us to estimate the effect size of each predictor variable on infidelity. The present study showed that infidelity was somewhat predictable overall and interpersonal factors such as relationship satisfaction, love, desire, and relationship length were the most predictive of online and in person infidelity. The results suggest that addressing relationship difficulties early in the relationship may help prevent infidelity.
      pubtype: Academic Journal
      doctype: Article
      src: R
    language: English
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