For whom should psychotherapy focus on problem coping? A machine learning algorithm for treatment personalization.

Objective: We aimed to develop and test an algorithm for individual patient predictions of problem coping experiences (PCE) (i.e., patients' understanding and ability to deal with their problems) effects in cognitive–behavioral therapy. Method: In an outpatient sample with a variety of diagnoses (n=...

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Publicado en:Psychotherapy Research Vol. 32; no. 2; pp. 151 - 165
Autores principales: Gómez Penedo, Juan Martin, Schwartz, Brian, Giesemann, Julia, Rubel, Julian A., Deisenhofer, Anne-Katharina, Lutz, Wolfgang
Formato: Artículo
Publicado: Taylor & Francis Ltd Feb 2022
Materias:
Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
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      dt: Feb 2022
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      pub: Taylor & Francis Ltd
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        10.1080/10503307.2021.1930242
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        atl: For whom should psychotherapy focus on problem coping? A machine learning algorithm for treatment personalization.
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        au:
          Gómez Penedo, Juan Martin
          Schwartz, Brian
          Giesemann, Julia
          Rubel, Julian A.
          Deisenhofer, Anne-Katharina
          Lutz, Wolfgang
        affil:
          Facultad de Psicología, Universidad de Buenos Aires (Conicet), Buenos Aires, Argentina
          Department of Psychology, University of Trier, Trier, Germany
          Department of Psychology, Justus-Liebig University Giessen, Giessen, Germany
      su:
        Psychotherapy
        Cognitive therapy
        Machine learning
        Random forest algorithms
        Structural equation modeling
      sug:
        subj:
          Psychotherapy
          Cognitive therapy
          Machine learning
          Random forest algorithms
          Structural equation modeling
      keyword:
        baseline patient characteristics
        cognitive-behavioral therapy (CBT)
        individual predictions
        machine learning
        Problem coping experiences
        baseline patient characteristics
        cognitive-behavioral therapy (CBT)
        individual predictions
        machine learning
        Problem coping experiences
      ab: Objective: We aimed to develop and test an algorithm for individual patient predictions of problem coping experiences (PCE) (i.e., patients' understanding and ability to deal with their problems) effects in cognitive–behavioral therapy. Method: In an outpatient sample with a variety of diagnoses (n=1010), we conducted Dynamic Structural Equation Modelling to estimate within-patient cross-lagged PCE effects on outcome during the first ten sessions. In a randomly selected training sample (2/3 of the cases), we tried different machine learning algorithms (i.e., ridge regression, LASSO, elastic net, and random forest) to predict PCE effects (i.e., the degree to which PCE was a time-lagged predictor of symptoms), using baseline demographic, diagnostic, and clinically-relevant patient features. Then, we validated the best algorithm on a test sample (1/3 of the cases). Results: The random forest algorithm performed best, explaining 14.7% of PCE effects variance in the training set. The results remained stable in the test set, explaining 15.4% of PCE effects variance. Conclusions: The results show the suitability to perform individual predictions of process effects, based on patients' initial information. If the results are replicated, the algorithm might have the potential to be implemented in clinical practice by integrating it into monitoring and therapist feedback systems.
      pubtype: Academic Journal
      doctype: Article
      src: R
    language: English
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