Decision tree model predicts live birth after surgery for moderate-to-severe intrauterine adhesions.

Background: After treatment of intrauterine adhesions, the rate of re-adhesion is high and the pregnancy outcome unpredictable and unsatisfactory. This study established and verified a decision tree predictive model of live birth in patients after surgery for moderate-to-severe intrauterine adhesion...

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Publicado en:BMC Pregnancy & Childbirth Vol. 22; no. 1; pp. 1 - 10
Autores principales: Zhu, Ru, Duan, Hua, Xu, Wenbin, Wang, Sha, Gan, Lu, Xu, Qian, Li, Jinjiao
Formato: Journal Article
Publicado: BioMed Central 1/29/2022
Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
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      dt: 1/29/2022
      vid: 22
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      pub: BioMed Central
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        NLM35093014
        10.1186/s12884-022-04375-x
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        154978868
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        atl: Decision tree model predicts live birth after surgery for moderate-to-severe intrauterine adhesions.
      aug:
        au:
          Zhu, Ru
          Duan, Hua
          Xu, Wenbin
          Wang, Sha
          Gan, Lu
          Xu, Qian
          Li, Jinjiao
        affil: Department of Minimally Invasive Gynecology, Beijing Obstetrics and Gynecology Hospital, Capital Medical University, 100006, Beijing, China
      sug:
        subj:
          Pregnancy Outcomes
          Decision Trees
          Pregnancy Complications Surgery
          Hysteroscopy
          Uterine Diseases Surgery
          Female
          Adult
          Predictive Value of Tests
          Retrospective Design
          Pregnancy
          Adhesions Surgery
          Birth Rate
          Logistic Regression
          Scales
          Adult: 19-44 years
          Female
      ab: Background: After treatment of intrauterine adhesions, the rate of re-adhesion is high and the pregnancy outcome unpredictable and unsatisfactory. This study established and verified a decision tree predictive model of live birth in patients after surgery for moderate-to-severe intrauterine adhesions (IUAs).Methods: A retrospective observational study initially comprised 394 patients with moderate-to-severe IUAs diagnosed via hysteroscopy. The patients underwent hysteroscopic adhesiolysis from January 2013 to January 2017, in a university-affiliated hospital. Follow-ups to determine the rate of live birth were conducted by telephone for at least the first postoperative year. A classification and regression tree algorithm was applied to establish a decision tree model of live birth after surgery.Results: Within the final population of 374 patients, the total live birth rate after treatment was 29.7%. The accuracy of the model was 83.8%, and the area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUC) was 0.870 (95% CI 7.699-0.989). The root node variable was postoperative menstrual pattern. The predictive accuracy of the multivariate logistic regression model was 70.3%, and the AUC was 0.835 (95% CI 0.667-0.962).Conclusions: The decision tree predictive model is useful for predicting live birth after surgery for IUAs; postoperative menstrual pattern is a key factor in the model. This model will help clinicians make appropriate clinical decisions during patient consultations.
      pubtype: Academic Journal
      doctype: Journal Article
      ougenre: Article
    language: English
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