Predicting Heuristic Decisions in Child Welfare: A Neural Network Exploration.

Behavior analysts have long recognized the benefits of closely following their data; however, the data we are following may be moving faster than the tools we have to accurately analyze and predict future behaviors. This problem even saturates behavior-analytic investigations that focus on the evalu...

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Published in:Behavior & Social Issues Vol. 30; no. 1; pp. 194 - 209
Main Authors: Ninness, Chris, Yelick, Anna, Ninness, Sharon K., Cordova, Wilma
Format: Article
Published: Springer Nature 2021
Subjects:
Online Access:View this record in EBSCOhost
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      pub: Springer Nature
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        155639283
        10.1007/s42822-021-00047-1
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        atl: Predicting Heuristic Decisions in Child Welfare: A Neural Network Exploration.
      aug:
        au:
          Ninness, Chris
          Yelick, Anna
          Ninness, Sharon K.
          Cordova, Wilma
        affil:
          Behavioral Software Systems, 2207 Pinecrest Dr, 75965, Nacogdoches, TX, USA
          Florida Institute for Child Welfare, Florida State University, Tallahassee, FL, USA
          Texas A&M University–Commerce, Commerce, TX, USA
          Stephen F. Austin State University, Nacogdoches, TX, USA
      su:
        Child welfare
        Behavior analysts
        Decision making
        Artificial neural networks
        Self-organizing maps
      sug:
        subj:
          Child welfare
          Behavior analysts
          Decision making
          Artificial neural networks
          Self-organizing maps
      keyword:
        Architectures
        Cross-validation
        Deep neural networks
        Prediction
        Self-organizing map
        Architectures
        Cross-validation
        Deep neural networks
        Prediction
        Self-organizing map
      ab: Behavior analysts have long recognized the benefits of closely following their data; however, the data we are following may be moving faster than the tools we have to accurately analyze and predict future behaviors. This problem even saturates behavior-analytic investigations that focus on the evaluation of complex data related to public policy issues in areas such as poverty, geriatrics, and child welfare practice. In the face of this research enigma, there exists a more powerful and precise set of classification and prediction platforms for researchers in the behavioral sciences. In this article, we describe a combination of neural network strategies that predict child welfare professionals' decision making. Extending the data analysis from the Yelick and Thyer (2019) study, we employed our current version of the Kohonen self-organizing map in conjunction with our deep neural network as a strategy for identifying participants who were at high probability for making heuristic decisions.
      pubtype: Academic Journal
      doctype: Article
      src: R
    language: English
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