clinical tool to identify older women with back pain at high risk of osteoporotic vertebral fractures (Vfrac): a population-based cohort study with exploratory economic evaluation.

Background osteoporotic vertebral fractures (OVFs) identify people at high risk of future fractures, but despite this, less than a third come to clinical attention. The objective of this study was to develop a clinical tool to aid health care professionals decide which older women with back pain sho...

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Publicado en:Age & Ageing Vol. 51; no. 3; pp. 1 - 9
Autores principales: Khera, Tarnjit, Hunt, Linda P, Davis, Sarah, Gooberman-Hill, Rachael, Thom, Howard, Xu, Yixin, Paskins, Zoe, Peters, Tim J, Tobias, Jon H, Clark, Emma M
Formato: Artículo
Publicado: Oxford University Press / USA Mar2022
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Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
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      dt: Mar2022
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      pub: Oxford University Press / USA
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        10.1093/ageing/afac031
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        atl: clinical tool to identify older women with back pain at high risk of osteoporotic vertebral fractures (Vfrac): a population-based cohort study with exploratory economic evaluation.
      aug:
        au:
          Khera, Tarnjit
          Hunt, Linda P
          Davis, Sarah
          Gooberman-Hill, Rachael
          Thom, Howard
          Xu, Yixin
          Paskins, Zoe
          Peters, Tim J
          Tobias, Jon H
          Clark, Emma M
        affil:
          Translational Health Sciences, Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol , Bristol, UK
          School of Health & Related Research, University of Sheffield , Sheffield, UK
          NIHR Bristol Biomedical Research Centre , Bristol, UK
          Population Health Sciences, Bristol Medical School, University of Bristol , Bristol, UK
          School of Medicine, Keele University , Staffordshire, UK
          Haywood Academic Rheumatology Centre, Midland Partnership NHS Foundation Trust , Stoke-on-Trent, UK
          MRC Integrative Epidemiology Unit, University of Bristol , UK
          North Bristol NHS Trust , Bristol, UK
      su:
        Self-evaluation
        Cost effectiveness
        Women's health
        Old age
        Spine radiography
        Experimental design
        Research
        Physical diagnosis
        Research methodology
        Backache
        Osteoporosis
        Risk assessment
        Logistic regression analysis
        Receiver operating characteristic curves
        Sensitivity & specificity (Statistics)
        Decision making in clinical medicine
        Bone fractures
        Vertebral fractures
      sug:
        subj:
          Self-evaluation
          Cost effectiveness
          Women's health
          Old age
          Spine radiography
          Experimental design
          Research
          Physical diagnosis
          Research methodology
          Backache
          Osteoporosis
          Risk assessment
          Logistic regression analysis
          Receiver operating characteristic curves
          Sensitivity & specificity (Statistics)
          Decision making in clinical medicine
          Bone fractures
          Vertebral fractures
      keyword:
        back pain
        cohort study
        older people
        vertebral fractures
        Vfrac
        back pain
        cohort study
        older people
        vertebral fractures
        Vfrac
      ab: Background osteoporotic vertebral fractures (OVFs) identify people at high risk of future fractures, but despite this, less than a third come to clinical attention. The objective of this study was to develop a clinical tool to aid health care professionals decide which older women with back pain should have a spinal radiograph. Methods a population-based cohort of 1,635 women aged 65+ years with self-reported back pain in the previous 4 months were recruited from primary care. Exposure data were collected through self-completion questionnaires and physical examination, including descriptions of back pain and traditional risk factors for osteoporosis. Outcome was the presence/absence of OVFs on spinal radiographs. Logistic regression models identified independent predictors of OVFs, with the area under the (receiver operating) curve calculated for the final model, and a cut-point was identified. Results mean age was 73.9 years and 209 (12.8%) had OVFs. The final Vfrac model comprised 15 predictors of OVF, with an AUC of 0.802 (95% CI: 0.764–0.840). Sensitivity was 72.4% and specificity was 72.9%. Vfrac identified 93% of those with more than one OVF and two-thirds of those with one OVF. Performance was enhanced by inclusion of self-reported back pain descriptors, removal of which reduced AUC to 0.742 (95% CI: 0.696–0.788) and sensitivity to 66.5%. Health economic modelling to support a future trial was favourable. Conclusions the Vfrac clinical tool appears to be valid and is improved by the addition of self-reported back pain symptoms. The tool now requires testing to establish real-world clinical and cost-effectiveness.
      pubtype: Academic Journal
      doctype: Article
      src: R
    language: English
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