Revisions to BLS quarterly labor productivity estimates: How large are they?

BLS quarterly estimates of labor productivity, or output per hour worked, are revised as more data become available and seasonal factors are updated. BLS publishes three regularly scheduled estimates of labor productivity growth: the preliminary estimates, the first revised estimates, and the second...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Monthly Labor Review pp. 1 - 37
Main Authors: Asher, Kendra, Glaser, John L., Meyer, Peter B., Stewart, Jay, Varghese, Jerin
Format: Article
Published: US Department of Labor Mar2022
Subjects:
Online Access:View this record in EBSCOhost
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      dt: Mar2022
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      pub: US Department of Labor
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        atl: Revisions to BLS quarterly labor productivity estimates: How large are they?
      aug:
        au:
          Asher, Kendra
          Glaser, John L.
          Meyer, Peter B.
          Stewart, Jay
          Varghese, Jerin
        affil:
          U.S. Bureau of Economic Analysis
          Supervisory economist in the Office of Productivity and Technology, U.S.
          Research economist in the Office of Productivity and Technology, U.S.
          Senior research economist in the Office of Productivity and Technology, U.S.
          Economist in the Office of Productivity and Technology, U.S. Bureau of Labor Statistics
      su:
        United States. Bureau of Labor Statistics
        Labor productivity
        Seasons
      sug:
        subj:
          Labor productivity
          United States. Bureau of Labor Statistics
          Administration of General Economic Programs
          Seasons
      ab: BLS quarterly estimates of labor productivity, or output per hour worked, are revised as more data become available and seasonal factors are updated. BLS publishes three regularly scheduled estimates of labor productivity growth: the preliminary estimates, the first revised estimates, and the second revised estimates. Most of the revisions result from updates to source data. This article analyzes revisions to the preliminary and first revised estimates relative to the second revised estimates and describes the new BLS methodology for constructing intervals that better informs data users about the likely size of future revisions. As part of our analysis, we identify the sources of revisions and determine whether systematic patterns exist that could be exploited to construct intervals. We find no evidence of such trends or systematic patterns.
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      doctype: Article
      src: R
    language: English
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