Infinite frequency principles of direct inference.
According to an infinite frequency principle, it is rational, under certain conditions, to set your credence in an outcome to the limiting frequency of that outcome if the experiment were repeated indefinitely. I argue that most infinite frequency principles are undesirable in at least one of the fo...
| Publicado en: | Synthese Vol. 200; no. 2; pp. 1 - 23 |
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| Autor principal: | |
| Formato: | Artículo |
| Publicado: |
Springer Nature
Apr2022
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| Acceso en línea: | Ver este registro en EBSCOhost |
| fields | @attributes: recordID: 1 pdfLink: plink: https://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&db=hlh&AN=156683707&site=ehost-live header: @attributes: shortDbName: hlh uiTerm: 156683707 longDbName: Humanities International Complete uiTag: AN controlInfo: bkinfo: jinfo: jid: 00397857 4LI jtl: Synthese issn: 00397857 maglogo: N pubinfo: dt: Apr2022 vid: 200 iid: 2 pid: 237 pub: Springer Nature artinfo: ui: 156683707 10.1007/s11229-022-03642-w ppf: 1 ppct: 22 formats: fmt: – @attributes: type: T – @attributes: type: P size: 422KB tig: atl: Infinite frequency principles of direct inference. aug: au: Ackermans, Lennart B. affil: Erasmus School of Philosophy, Erasmus University Rotterdam, Rotterdam, The Netherlands sug: keyword: Bayesianism Direct inference Objective probability Principal principle Subjective probability ab: According to an infinite frequency principle, it is rational, under certain conditions, to set your credence in an outcome to the limiting frequency of that outcome if the experiment were repeated indefinitely. I argue that most infinite frequency principles are undesirable in at least one of the following ways: (1) accepting the principle would lead you to accept bets with sure losses, (2) the principle gives no guidance in the case of deterministic experiments like coin tosses and (3) the principle relies on a metaphysical property, ‘chanciness’, whose necessary and sufficient conditions are unknown. I show that a frequency principle that is based on the principal principle suffers from problems related to the definition of ‘chance’ or ‘chanciness’, which could lead to all three of the above problems. I introduce a version of the infinite frequency principle that does not rely on a notion of chance or chanciness and does not suffer from any of these problems. pubtype: Academic Journal doctype: Article src: R language: English refInfo: copyright: @attributes: flag: Y custom: Synthese is a copyright of Springer, 2022. All Rights Reserved. item: Synthese holder: Springer Nature dt: @attributes: year: 2022 holdings: @attributes: islocal: N |
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