Project portfolio planning under CO fleet emission restrictions in the automotive industry.

This paper aims to identify financially and environmentally promising project portfolio decisions under CO2 fleet emission restrictions in the automotive industry. These decisions are particularly difficult due to uncertain demand, ever‐stricter CO2 fleet emission thresholds, and an increasing numbe...

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Publicado en:Journal of Industrial Ecology Vol. 26; no. 3; pp. 937 - 952
Autores principales: Thies, Christian, Hüls, Christoph, Kieckhäfer, Karsten, Wansart, Jörg, Spengler, Thomas S.
Formato: Artículo
Publicado: Springer Nature Jun2022
Materias:
Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
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      dt: Jun2022
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      pub: Springer Nature
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        10.1111/jiec.13228
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        atl: Project portfolio planning under CO fleet emission restrictions in the automotive industry.
      aug:
        au:
          Thies, Christian
          Hüls, Christoph
          Kieckhäfer, Karsten
          Wansart, Jörg
          Spengler, Thomas S.
        affil:
          Institute of Automotive Management and Industrial Production, Technische Universität Braunschweig, Braunschweig, Germany
          Volkswagen AG, Wolfsburg, Germany
          Chair of Production and Logistics Management, FernUniversität in Hagen, Hagen, Germany
      su:
        Electric vehicle batteries
        Automobile industry
        Carbon emissions
        Net present value
        Product life cycle
        Linear programming
      sug:
        subj:
          Automobile and light-duty motor vehicle manufacturing
          Automobile Manufacturing
          Motor Vehicle Body Manufacturing
          New and used automobile and light-duty truck merchant wholesalers
          Automobile and Other Motor Vehicle Merchant Wholesalers
          New Car Dealers
          Electric vehicle batteries
          Automobile industry
          Carbon emissions
          Net present value
          Product life cycle
          Linear programming
      keyword:
        alternative powertrains
        CO2 fleet emissions
        electric mobility
        industrial ecology
        project portfolio planning
        strategic management
        alternative powertrains
        CO2 fleet emissions
        electric mobility
        industrial ecology
        project portfolio planning
        strategic management
      ab: This paper aims to identify financially and environmentally promising project portfolio decisions under CO2 fleet emission restrictions in the automotive industry. These decisions are particularly difficult due to uncertain demand, ever‐stricter CO2 fleet emission thresholds, and an increasing number of alternative powertrain technologies that can be integrated into different vehicle projects with high project‐specific investments and long product life cycles. We develop a mixed‐integer linear programming model that maximizes the net present value of car manufacturers' project portfolios, so‐called cycle plans, by selecting specific vehicle projects and by determining the respective production quantities to comply with the given thresholds for the CO2 fleet emissions. By applying the model to an illustrative European car manufacturer, promising cycle plan decisions are determined and analyzed across six market demand scenarios. The results reveal that compliance with the European emission thresholds until 2035 is generally possible if electric vehicle demand gains momentum, but threshold exceedance and corresponding penalty payments can be financially advantageous in some situations. Long‐term compliance with CO2 regulation and financial success is supported by the fast market introduction of battery electric vehicles and the preparation of fuel cell electric vehicles for a later market introduction in large‐sized vehicles.
      pubtype: Academic Journal
      doctype: Article
      src: R
    language: English
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