The Current Population Survey Voting and Registration Supplement Overstates Minority Turnout.
The Current Population Survey (CPS) is a key source of information on who votes. Turnout estimates derived from the CPS are often cited in academic research on participation, widely used in the calibration of surveys, and central to ongoing legal and policy debates over the protection of voting righ...
| Publicado en: | Journal of Politics Vol. 84; no. 3; pp. 1850 - 1856 |
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| Autores principales: | , , |
| Formato: | Artículo |
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University of Chicago Press
Jul2022
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| Acceso en línea: | Ver este registro en EBSCOhost |
| fields | @attributes: recordID: 1 pdfLink: plink: https://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&db=ssf&AN=157709011&site=ehost-live header: @attributes: shortDbName: ssf uiTerm: 157709011 longDbName: Social Sciences Full Text (H.W. Wilson) uiTag: AN controlInfo: bkinfo: jinfo: jid: 00223816 JPO jtl: Journal of Politics issn: 00223816 maglogo: N pubinfo: dt: Jul2022 vid: 84 iid: 3 pid: 415 pub: University of Chicago Press artinfo: ui: 157709011 10.1086/717260 ppf: 1850 ppct: 6 formats: tig: atl: The Current Population Survey Voting and Registration Supplement Overstates Minority Turnout. aug: au: Ansolabehere, Stephen Fraga, Bernard L. Schaffner, Brian F. affil: Harvard University Emory University Tufts University su: United States Voting Suffrage Political rights Minorities Political participation Voter turnout Voter registration sug: subj: Voting Suffrage Political rights Minorities Political participation United States Voter turnout Voter registration keyword: black turnout Latino turnout survey measurement voting voting rights black turnout Latino turnout survey measurement voting voting rights ab: The Current Population Survey (CPS) is a key source of information on who votes. Turnout estimates derived from the CPS are often cited in academic research on participation, widely used in the calibration of surveys, and central to ongoing legal and policy debates over the protection of voting rights in the United States. We compare CPS estimates to official voter turnout records from 2008–18 and document consistent, significant discrepancies that call into question the reliability of CPS turnout statistics. Specifically, the CPS overestimates black and Hispanic turnout relative to non-Hispanic whites, whether relying on turnout rates as a share of eligible citizens or the racial/ethnic composition of the voting population. Sampling error and commonly used adjustments to CPS estimates do not account for or correct this bias, and thus academics and policy makers should use discretion when judging recent shifts in voter turnout with survey data. pubtype: Academic Journal doctype: Article src: R language: English refInfo: copyright: @attributes: flag: N holdings: @attributes: islocal: N |
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