Predicting the presence of depressive symptoms in the HIV-HCV co-infected population in Canada using supervised machine learning.

Background: Depression is common in the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-hepatitis C virus (HCV) co-infected population. Demographic, behavioural, and clinical data collected in research settings may be of help in identifying those at risk for clinical depression. We aimed to predict the presence...

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Publicado en:BMC Medical Research Methodology Vol. 22; no. 1; pp. 1 - 12
Autores principales: Marathe, Gayatri, Moodie, Erica E. M., Brouillette, Marie-Josée, Cox, Joseph, Cooper, Curtis, Delaunay, Charlotte Lanièce, Conway, Brian, Hull, Mark, Martel-Laferrière, Valérie, Vachon, Marie-Louise, Walmsley, Sharon, Wong, Alexander, Klein, Marina B., Canadian Co-Infection Cohort, Barrett, Lisa, Cohen, Jeff, Côté, Pierre, Gill, John, Haider, Shariq, Pick, Neora
Formato: research Journal Article
Publicado: BioMed Central 8/12/2022
Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
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        atl: Predicting the presence of depressive symptoms in the HIV-HCV co-infected population in Canada using supervised machine learning.
      aug:
        au:
          Marathe, Gayatri
          Moodie, Erica E. M.
          Brouillette, Marie-Josée
          Cox, Joseph
          Cooper, Curtis
          Delaunay, Charlotte Lanièce
          Conway, Brian
          Hull, Mark
          Martel-Laferrière, Valérie
          Vachon, Marie-Louise
          Walmsley, Sharon
          Wong, Alexander
          Klein, Marina B.
          Canadian Co-Infection Cohort
          Barrett, Lisa
          Cohen, Jeff
          Côté, Pierre
          Gill, John
          Haider, Shariq
          Pick, Neora
        affil: Department of Epidemiology, Biostatistics and Occupational Health, McGill University, 2001 McGill College Avenue, H3A 1G1, Montreal, QC, Canada
      sug:
        subj:
          HIV Infections Complications
          HIV Infections Diagnosis
          HIV Infections Epidemiology
          Hepatitis C Diagnosis
          Coinfection Epidemiology
          Hepatitis C Epidemiology
          Coinfection Diagnosis
          Hepatitis C Complications
          Prospective Studies
          Retrospective Design
          Middle Age
          Depression Diagnosis
          Female
          Male
          Canada
          Hepatitis Viruses
          Depression Epidemiology
          Center for Epidemiological Studies Depression Scale
          Middle Aged: 45-64 years
          Female
          Male
      ab: Background: Depression is common in the human immunodeficiency virus (HIV)-hepatitis C virus (HCV) co-infected population. Demographic, behavioural, and clinical data collected in research settings may be of help in identifying those at risk for clinical depression. We aimed to predict the presence of depressive symptoms indicative of a risk of depression and identify important classification predictors using supervised machine learning.Methods: We used data from the Canadian Co-infection Cohort, a multicentre prospective cohort, and its associated sub-study on Food Security (FS). The Center for Epidemiologic Studies Depression Scale-10 (CES-D-10) was administered in the FS sub-study; participants were classified as being at risk for clinical depression if scores ≥ 10. We developed two random forest algorithms using the training data (80%) and tenfold cross validation to predict the CES-D-10 classes-1. Full algorithm with all candidate predictors (137 predictors) and 2. Reduced algorithm using a subset of predictors based on expert opinion (46 predictors). We evaluated the algorithm performances in the testing data using area under the receiver operating characteristic curves (AUC) and generated predictor importance plots.Results: We included 1,934 FS sub-study visits from 717 participants who were predominantly male (73%), white (76%), unemployed (73%), and high school educated (52%). At the first visit, median age was 49 years (IQR:43-54) and 53% reported presence of depressive symptoms with CES-D-10 scores ≥ 10. The full algorithm had an AUC of 0.82 (95% CI:0.78-0.86) and the reduced algorithm of 0.76 (95% CI:0.71-0.81). Employment, HIV clinical stage, revenue source, body mass index, and education were the five most important predictors.Conclusion: We developed a prediction algorithm that could be instrumental in identifying individuals at risk for depression in the HIV-HCV co-infected population in research settings. Development of such machine learning algorithms using research data with rich predictor information can be useful for retrospective analyses of unanswered questions regarding impact of depressive symptoms on clinical and patient-centred outcomes among vulnerable populations.
      pubtype: Academic Journal
      doctype:
        research
        Journal Article
      ougenre: Article
    language: English
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