An Active Inference Account of Skilled Anticipation in Sport: Using Computational Models to Formalise Theory and Generate New Hypotheses.

Optimal performance in time-constrained and dynamically changing environments depends on making reliable predictions about future outcomes. In sporting tasks, performers have been found to employ multiple information sources to maximise the accuracy of their predictions, but questions remain about h...

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Publicado en:Sports Medicine Vol. 52; no. 9; pp. 2023 - 2039
Autores principales: Harris, David J., Arthur, Tom, Broadbent, David P., Wilson, Mark R., Vine, Samuel J., Runswick, Oliver R.
Formato: equations & formulas research tables/charts Journal Article
Publicado: Springer Nature Sep2022
Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
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      dt: Sep2022
      vid: 52
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      pub: Springer Nature
      place: New York, New York
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        10.1007/s40279-022-01689-w
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        atl: An Active Inference Account of Skilled Anticipation in Sport: Using Computational Models to Formalise Theory and Generate New Hypotheses.
      aug:
        au:
          Harris, David J.
          Arthur, Tom
          Broadbent, David P.
          Wilson, Mark R.
          Vine, Samuel J.
          Runswick, Oliver R.
        affil: School of Sport and Health Sciences, College of Life and Environmental Sciences, University of Exeter, St Luke's Campus, EX1 2LU, Exeter, UK
      sug:
        subj:
          Sports
          Theory
          Models, Theoretical
          Skill Acquisition
          Task Performance and Analysis
          Human
          Simulations
          Policy Making
          Descriptive Statistics
          Kinematics
          Cricket (Sports)
          Sensation
          Baseball
          Throwing
      ab: Optimal performance in time-constrained and dynamically changing environments depends on making reliable predictions about future outcomes. In sporting tasks, performers have been found to employ multiple information sources to maximise the accuracy of their predictions, but questions remain about how different information sources are weighted and integrated to guide anticipation. In this paper, we outline how predictive processing approaches, and active inference in particular, provide a unifying account of perception and action that explains many of the prominent findings in the sports anticipation literature. Active inference proposes that perception and action are underpinned by the organism's need to remain within certain stable states. To this end, decision making approximates Bayesian inference and actions are used to minimise future prediction errors during brain–body–environment interactions. Using a series of Bayesian neurocomputational models based on a partially observable Markov process, we demonstrate that key findings from the literature can be recreated from the first principles of active inference. In doing so, we formulate a number of novel and empirically falsifiable hypotheses about human anticipation capabilities that could guide future investigations in the field.
      pubtype: Academic Journal
      doctype:
        equations & formulas
        research
        tables/charts
        Journal Article
      ougenre: Article
    language: English
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