Uncovering Heterogeneous Associations Between Disaster-Related Trauma and Subsequent Functional Limitations: A Machine-Learning Approach.

This study examined heterogeneity in the association between disaster-related home loss and functional limitations of older adults, and identified characteristics of vulnerable subpopulations. Data were from a prospective cohort study of Japanese older survivors of the 2011 Japan Earthquake. Complet...

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Publicado en:American Journal of Epidemiology Vol. 192; no. 2; pp. 217 - 230
Autores principales: Shiba, Koichiro, Daoud, Adel, Hikichi, Hiroyuki, Yazawa, Aki, Aida, Jun, Kondo, Katsunori, Kawachi, Ichiro
Formato: equations & formulas research tables/charts Journal Article
Publicado: Oxford University Press / USA Feb2023
Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
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      dt: Feb2023
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      pub: Oxford University Press / USA
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        10.1093/aje/kwac187
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        atl: Uncovering Heterogeneous Associations Between Disaster-Related Trauma and Subsequent Functional Limitations: A Machine-Learning Approach.
      aug:
        au:
          Shiba, Koichiro
          Daoud, Adel
          Hikichi, Hiroyuki
          Yazawa, Aki
          Aida, Jun
          Kondo, Katsunori
          Kawachi, Ichiro
      sug:
        subj:
          Natural Disasters Psychosocial Factors
          Machine Learning
          Activities of Daily Living
          Causal Attribution
          Functional Status
          Homelessness
          Psychological Trauma
          Human
          Male
          Female
          Aged
          Aged, 80 and Over
          Japan
          Prospective Studies
          Self Report
          Algorithms
          Aged: 65+ years
          Aged, 80 & over
          Male
          Female
      ab: This study examined heterogeneity in the association between disaster-related home loss and functional limitations of older adults, and identified characteristics of vulnerable subpopulations. Data were from a prospective cohort study of Japanese older survivors of the 2011 Japan Earthquake. Complete home loss was objectively assessed. Outcomes in 2013 (n  = 3,350) and 2016 (n  = 2,664) included certified physical disability levels, self-reported activities of daily living, and instrumental activities of daily living. We estimated population average associations between home loss and functional limitations via targeted maximum likelihood estimation with SuperLearning and its heterogeneity via the generalized random forest algorithm. We adjusted for 55 characteristics of survivors from the baseline survey conducted 7 months before the disaster. While home loss was consistently associated with increased functional limitations on average, there was evidence of effect heterogeneity for all outcomes. Comparing the most and least vulnerable groups, the most vulnerable group tended to be older, not married, living alone, and not working, with preexisting health problems before the disaster. Individuals who were less educated but had higher income also appeared vulnerable for some outcomes. Our inductive approach for effect heterogeneity using machine learning algorithm uncovered large and complex heterogeneity in postdisaster functional limitations among Japanese older survivors.
      pubtype: Academic Journal
      doctype:
        equations & formulas
        research
        tables/charts
        Journal Article
      ougenre: Article
    language: English
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