Predicting Failure of Noninvasive Respiratory Support Using Deep Recurrent Learning.

BACKGROUND: Noninvasive respiratory support (NRS) is increasingly used to support patients with acute respiratory failure. However, noninvasive support failure may worsen outcomes compared to primary support with invasive mechanical ventilation. Therefore, there is a need to identify patients where...

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Published in:Respiratory Care Vol. 68; no. 4; pp. 488 - 497
Main Authors: Essay, Patrick T., Mosier, Jarrod M., Nayebi, Amin, Fisher, Julia M., Subbian, Vignesh
Format: research tables/charts Journal Article
Published: Mary Ann Liebert, Inc. Apr2023
Online Access:View this record in EBSCOhost
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      pub: Mary Ann Liebert, Inc.
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        atl: Predicting Failure of Noninvasive Respiratory Support Using Deep Recurrent Learning.
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          Essay, Patrick T.
          Mosier, Jarrod M.
          Nayebi, Amin
          Fisher, Julia M.
          Subbian, Vignesh
      sug:
        subj:
          Deep Learning Evaluation
          Noninvasive Procedures Methods
          Respiratory Failure
          Respiration, Artificial
          Outcomes (Health Care)
          Neural Networks (Computer)
          Recurrence
          Human
          Cross Sectional Studies
          Nonexperimental Studies
          Memory, Short Term
          Electronic Health Records
          Adolescence
          Adult
          Middle Age
          Aged
          Oxygen Therapy
          Creatinine Blood
          Albumins Blood
          Heart Rate
          Oxygen Saturation
          ROC Curve
          Intubation
          Adolescent: 13-18 years
          Adult: 19-44 years
          Middle Aged: 45-64 years
          Aged: 65+ years
      ab: BACKGROUND: Noninvasive respiratory support (NRS) is increasingly used to support patients with acute respiratory failure. However, noninvasive support failure may worsen outcomes compared to primary support with invasive mechanical ventilation. Therefore, there is a need to identify patients where NRS is failing so that treatment can be reassessed and adjusted. The objective of this study was to develop and evaluate 3 recurrent neural network (RNN) models to predict NRS failure. METHODS: This was a cross-sectional observational study to evaluate the ability of deep RNN models (long short-term memory [LSTM], gated recurrent unit [GRU]), and GRU with trainable decay) to predict failure of NRS. Data were extracted from electronic health records from all adult (6 18 y) patient records requiring any type of oxygen therapy or mechanical ventilation between November 1, 2013-September 30, 2020, across 46 ICUs in the Southwest United States in a single health care network. Input variables for each model included serum chloride, creatinine, albumin, breathing frequency, heart rate, SpO2, FIO2, arterial oxygen saturation (SaO2), and 2 measurements each (point-of-care and laboratory measurement) of PaO2 and partial pressure of arterial oxygen from an arterial blood gas. RESULTS: Time series data from electronic health records were available for 22,075 subjects. The highest accuracy and area under the receiver operating characteristic curve were for the LSTM model (94.04% and 0.9636, respectively). Accurate predictions were made 12 h after ICU admission, and performance remained high well in advance of NRS failure. CONCLUSIONS: RNN models using routinely collected time series data can accurately predict NRS failure well before intubation. This lead time may provide an opportunity to intervene to optimize patient outcomes.
      pubtype: Academic Journal
      doctype:
        research
        tables/charts
        Journal Article
      ougenre: Article
    language: English
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