Bare statistical evidence and the legitimacy of software-based judicial decisions.

Can the evidence provided by software systems meet the standard of proof for civil or criminal cases, and is it individualized evidence? Or, to the contrary, do software systems exclusively provide bare statistical evidence? In this paper, we argue that there are cases in which evidence in the form...

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Publicado en:Synthese Vol. 201; no. 4; pp. 1 - 28
Autores principales: Schmidt, Eva, Sesing-Wagenpfeil, Andreas, Köhl, Maximilian A.
Formato: Artículo
Publicado: Springer Nature Apr2023
Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
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        atl: Bare statistical evidence and the legitimacy of software-based judicial decisions.
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          Schmidt, Eva
          Sesing-Wagenpfeil, Andreas
          Köhl, Maximilian A.
        affil:
          Department of Philosophy and Political Science, TU Dortmund, Emil-Figge-Straße 50, 44227, Dortmund, Germany
          Saarland University, Saarbrücken, Germany
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        Bare statistical evidence
        COMPAS
        DNA evidence
        Inference to the best explanation
        Legal epistemology
        Normic support
        Standard of proof
      ab: Can the evidence provided by software systems meet the standard of proof for civil or criminal cases, and is it individualized evidence? Or, to the contrary, do software systems exclusively provide bare statistical evidence? In this paper, we argue that there are cases in which evidence in the form of probabilities computed by software systems is not bare statistical evidence, and is thus able to meet the standard of proof. First, based on the case of State v. Loomis, we investigate recidivism predictions provided by software systems used in the courtroom. Here, we raise problems for software systems that provide predictions that are based on bare statistical evidence. Second, by examining the case of People v. Chubbs, we argue that the statistical evidence provided by software systems in cold hit DNA cases may in some cases suffice for individualized evidence, on a view on which individualized evidence is evidence that normically supports the relevant proposition (Smith, in Mind 127:1193–1218, 2018).
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