Should I Stay or Should I Go?: Testing the Influence of Ambivalence on Vote Switching in the German Multi-party Context.

Does political ambivalence increase vote switching? While the effects of ambivalence on vote switching have been investigated in the American political system, its application to multi-party systems has not been explored. To address this gap, this article investigates the effects of ambivalence on v...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Publicado en:German Politics & Society Vol. 41; no. 1; pp. 25 - 64
Autor principal: Dentler, Klara
Formato: Artículo
Publicado: Berghahn Books Spring2023
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Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
Descripción
Sumario:Does political ambivalence increase vote switching? While the effects of ambivalence on vote switching have been investigated in the American political system, its application to multi-party systems has not been explored. To address this gap, this article investigates the effects of ambivalence on vote intention switching and vote switching in Germany's multi-party system, which has recently experienced electoral instability. Using the German Longitudinal Election Study (gles), the article teases out the mechanics of party ambivalence, leader ambivalence, and party-leader ambivalence. The results suggest that ambivalence increases the probability of voters switching parties during the pre-election campaigning period and between two consecutive elections. Ambivalence therefore has important implications for vote switching and for understanding the underlying determinants of electoral volatility in twenty-first-century politics.