Predicting loss aversion behavior with machine-learning methods.

This paper proposes to forecast an important cognitive phenomenon called the Loss Aversion Bias via Hybrid Machine Learning Models. One of the unique aspects of this study is using the reaction time (milliseconds), psychological factors (self-confidence scale, Beck’s hopelessness scale, loss-aversio...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Publicado en:Humanities & Social Sciences Communications pp. 1 - 15
Autores principales: Saltık, Ömür, Rehman, Wasim ul, Söyü, Rıdvan, Değirmen, Süleyman, Şengönül, Ahmet
Formato: Artículo
Publicado: Springer Nature 4/27/2023
Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
Descripción
Sumario:This paper proposes to forecast an important cognitive phenomenon called the Loss Aversion Bias via Hybrid Machine Learning Models. One of the unique aspects of this study is using the reaction time (milliseconds), psychological factors (self-confidence scale, Beck’s hopelessness scale, loss-aversion), and personality traits (financial literacy scales, socio-demographic features) as features in classification and regression methods. We found that Random Forest was superior to other algorithms, and when the positive spread ratio (between gain and loss) converged to default loss aversion level, decision-makers minimize their decision duration while gambling, we named this phenomenon as “irresistible impulse of gambling”.