Prediction of Waiting Times in A&E...21st International Conference on Informatics, Management, and Technology in Healthcare (ICIMTH), July 1-3, 2023, Athens, Greece

Predicting waiting times in A&E is a critical tool for controlling the flow of patients in the department. The most used method (rolling average) does not account for the complex context of the A&E. Using retrospective data of patients visiting an A&E service from 2017 to 2019 (pre-pandemic). An AI-...

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Publicado en:Studies in Health Technology & Informatics Vol. 305; pp. 36 - 40
Autores principales: ARIAS-GÓMEZ, Luis F., LOVEGROVE, Thomas, KUNZ, Holger
Formato: abstract proceedings research tables/charts Journal Article
Publicado: Sage Publications Inc. 2023
Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
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      dt: 2023
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      pub: Sage Publications Inc.
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        atl: Prediction of Waiting Times in A&E...21st International Conference on Informatics, Management, and Technology in Healthcare (ICIMTH), July 1-3, 2023, Athens, Greece
      aug:
        au:
          ARIAS-GÓMEZ, Luis F.
          LOVEGROVE, Thomas
          KUNZ, Holger
        affil: Institute of Health Informatics, University College London, London, United Kingdom.
      sug:
        subj:
          Waiting Lists
          Emergency Service
          Patient Discharge
          Time Factors
          Workflow
          Congresses and Conferences Greece
          Greece
      ab: Predicting waiting times in A&E is a critical tool for controlling the flow of patients in the department. The most used method (rolling average) does not account for the complex context of the A&E. Using retrospective data of patients visiting an A&E service from 2017 to 2019 (pre-pandemic). An AI-enabled method is used to predict waiting times in this study. A random forest and XGBoost regression methods were trained and tested to predict the time to discharge before the patient arrived at the hospital. When applying the final models to the 68,321 observations and using the complete set of features, the random forest algorithm's performance measurements are RMSE=85.31 and MAE=66.71. The XGBoost model obtained a performance of RMSE=82.66 and MAE=64.31. The approach might be a more dynamic method to predict waiting times.
      pubtype: Academic Journal
      doctype:
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        Journal Article
      ougenre: Article
    language: English
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