A Hybrid of Random Forests and Generalized Path Analysis: A Causal Modeling of Crashes in 52,524 Suburban Areas.

Background: Determining suburban area crashes' risk factors may allow for early and operative safety measures to find the main risk factors and moderating effects of crashes. Therefore, this paper has focused on a causal modeling framework. Study Design: A cross-sectional study. Methods: In this stu...

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Publicado en:Journal of Research in Health Sciences Vol. 23; no. 2; pp. 1 - 11
Autores principales: Jahanjoo, Fatemeh, Sadeghi-Bazargani, Homayoun, Mansournia, Mohammad Ali, Hosseini, Seyyed Teymoor, Asghari-Jafarabadi, Mohammad
Formato: research tables/charts Journal Article
Publicado: Hamadan University of Medical Sciences, School of Public Health Spring2023
Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
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      dt: Spring2023
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      pub: Hamadan University of Medical Sciences, School of Public Health
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        10.34172/jrhs.2023.116
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        atl: A Hybrid of Random Forests and Generalized Path Analysis: A Causal Modeling of Crashes in 52,524 Suburban Areas.
      aug:
        au:
          Jahanjoo, Fatemeh
          Sadeghi-Bazargani, Homayoun
          Mansournia, Mohammad Ali
          Hosseini, Seyyed Teymoor
          Asghari-Jafarabadi, Mohammad
        affil: Road Traffic Injury Research Center, Tabriz University of Medical Sciences, Tabriz, Iran
      sug:
        subj:
          Accidents, Traffic Analysis
          Suburban Areas
          Accidents, Traffic Risk Factors
          Risk Assessment
          Human
          Cross Sectional Studies
          Causal Modeling
          Random Forest Methods
          Path Analysis Methods
          Independent Variable
          Chi Square Test
          Descriptive Statistics
          Confidence Intervals
          Conceptual Framework
          Accidents, Traffic Prevention and Control
          Scales
      ab: Background: Determining suburban area crashes' risk factors may allow for early and operative safety measures to find the main risk factors and moderating effects of crashes. Therefore, this paper has focused on a causal modeling framework. Study Design: A cross-sectional study. Methods: In this study, 52 524 suburban crashes were investigated from 2015 to 2016. The hybrid-random-forest- generalized-path-analysis technique (HRF-gPath) was used to extract the main variables and identify mediators and moderators. Results: This study analyzed 42 explanatory variables using a RF model, and it was found that collision type, distinct, driver misconduct, speed, license, prior cause, plaque description, vehicle maneuver, vehicle type, lighting, passenger presence, seatbelt use, and land use were significant factors. Further analysis using g-Path demonstrated the mediating and predicting roles of collision type, vehicle type, seatbelt use, and driver misconduct. The modified model fitted the data well, with statistical significance (χ²30 = 81.29, P < 0.001) and high values for comparative-fit-index and Tucker-Lewis-index exceeding 0.9, as well as a low root-mean-square-error-of-approximation of 0.031 (90% confidence interval: 0.030-0.032). Conclusion: The results of our study identified several significant variables, including collision type, vehicle type, seatbelt use, and driver misconduct, which played mediating and predicting roles. These findings provide valuable insights into the complex factors that contribute to collisions via a theoretical framework and can inform efforts to reduce their occurrence in the future.
      pubtype: Academic Journal
      doctype:
        research
        tables/charts
        Journal Article
      ougenre: Article
    language: English
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