Spatiotemporal Modeling of the Association between Neighborhood Factors and COVID-19 Incidence Rates in Scotland.

This study aims to investigate the association between neighborhood-level factors and COVID-19 incidence in Scotland from a spatiotemporal perspective. The outcome variable is the COVID-19 incidence in Scotland. Based on the identification of the wave peaks for COVID-19 cases between 2020 and 2021,...

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Publicado en:Professional Geographer Vol. 75; no. 5; pp. 803 - 816
Autores principales: Wang, Ruoyu, Clemens, Tom, Douglas, Margaret, Keller, Markéta, van der Horst, Dan
Formato: Artículo
Publicado: Taylor & Francis Ltd 2023
Materias:
Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
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      dt: 2023
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      pub: Taylor & Francis Ltd
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        10.1080/00330124.2023.2194363
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        atl: Spatiotemporal Modeling of the Association between Neighborhood Factors and COVID-19 Incidence Rates in Scotland.
      aug:
        au:
          Wang, Ruoyu
          Clemens, Tom
          Douglas, Margaret
          Keller, Markéta
          van der Horst, Dan
        affil:
          Queen's University Belfast, UK
          University of Edinburgh, UK
          University of Glasgow, UK, and Public Health Scotland, UK
          Public Health Scotland
      su:
        Scotland
        COVID-19 pandemic
        Neighborhoods
        COVID-19
        Random forest algorithms
        Particulate matter
      sug:
        subj:
          COVID-19 pandemic
          Neighborhoods
          Scotland
          COVID-19
          Random forest algorithms
          Particulate matter
      keyword:
        geographical random forest model
        neighborhood factors
        spatial-temporal pattern
        Escocia
        factores de vecindad
        modelo geográfico de bosque aleatorio
        patrón espaciotemporal
        地理随机森林模型
        新冠肺炎
        时空模式。
        社区因素
        苏格兰
        geographical random forest model
        neighborhood factors
        spatial-temporal pattern
        Escocia
        factores de vecindad
        modelo geográfico de bosque aleatorio
        patrón espaciotemporal
        地理随机森林模型
        新冠肺炎
        时空模式。
        社区因素
        苏格兰
      ab: This study aims to investigate the association between neighborhood-level factors and COVID-19 incidence in Scotland from a spatiotemporal perspective. The outcome variable is the COVID-19 incidence in Scotland. Based on the identification of the wave peaks for COVID-19 cases between 2020 and 2021, confirmed COVID-19 cases in Scotland can be divided into four phases. To model the COVID-19 incidence, sixteen neighborhood factors are chosen as the predictors. Geographical random forest models are used to examine spatiotemporal variation in major determinants of COVID-19 incidence. The spatial analysis indicates that proportion of religious people is the most strongly associated with COVID-19 incidence in southern Scotland, whereas particulate matter is the most strongly associated with COVID-19 incidence in northern Scotland. Also, crowded households, prepandemic emergency admission rates, and health and social workers are the most strongly associated with COVID-19 incidence in eastern and central Scotland, respectively. A possible explanation is that the association between predictors and COVID-19 incidence might be influenced by local context (e.g., people's lifestyles), which is spatially variant across Scotland. The temporal analysis indicates that dominant factors associated with COVID-19 incidence also vary across different phases, suggesting that pandemic-related policy should take spatiotemporal variations into account.
      pubtype: Academic Journal
      doctype: Article
      src: R
    language: English
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