Identification of atrial fibrillation phenotypes at low risk of stroke in patients with CHA2DS2‐VASc ≥2: Insight from the China‐AF study.

Objective: Patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) are highly heterogeneous, and current risk stratification scores are only modestly good at predicting an individual's stroke risk. We aim to identify distinct AF clinical phenotypes with cluster analysis to optimize stroke prevention practices. Metho...

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Publicado en:Pacing & Clinical Electrophysiology Vol. 46; no. 10; pp. 1203 - 1212
Autores principales: Jiang, Chao, Li, Mingxiao, Hu, Yiying, Du, Xin, Li, Xiang, He, Liu, Lai, Yiwei, Chen, Tiange, Li, Yingxue, Guo, Xueyuan, Jiang, Chenxi, Tang, Ribo, Sang, Caihua, Long, Deyong, Xie, Guotong, Dong, Jianzeng, Ma, Changsheng
Formato: research tables/charts Journal Article
Publicado: Wiley-Blackwell Oct2023
Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
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      dt: Oct2023
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      pub: Wiley-Blackwell
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        atl: Identification of atrial fibrillation phenotypes at low risk of stroke in patients with CHA2DS2‐VASc ≥2: Insight from the China‐AF study.
      aug:
        au:
          Jiang, Chao
          Li, Mingxiao
          Hu, Yiying
          Du, Xin
          Li, Xiang
          He, Liu
          Lai, Yiwei
          Chen, Tiange
          Li, Yingxue
          Guo, Xueyuan
          Jiang, Chenxi
          Tang, Ribo
          Sang, Caihua
          Long, Deyong
          Xie, Guotong
          Dong, Jianzeng
          Ma, Changsheng
        affil: Department of Cardiology, Beijing Anzhen Hospital, Capital Medical University, National Clinical Research Center for Cardiovascular Diseases, Beijing, China
      sug:
        subj:
          Atrial Fibrillation Complications
          Phenotype
          Stroke Risk Factors
          Cardiac Patients
          Risk Assessment
          Human
          Male
          Female
          Cluster Analysis
          Prospective Studies
          Funding Source
          Registries, Disease
          China
          Anticoagulants Therapeutic Use
          Ischemic Stroke Risk Factors
          Thromboembolism Epidemiology
          Heart Failure
          Diabetes Mellitus
          Age Factors
          Aged
          Incidence
          Predictive Value of Tests
          Stroke Prevention and Control
          Aged: 65+ years
          Male
          Female
      ab: Objective: Patients with atrial fibrillation (AF) are highly heterogeneous, and current risk stratification scores are only modestly good at predicting an individual's stroke risk. We aim to identify distinct AF clinical phenotypes with cluster analysis to optimize stroke prevention practices. Methods: From the prospective Chinese Atrial Fibrillation Registry cohort study, we included 4337 AF patients with CHA2DS2‐VASc≥2 for males and 3 for females who were not treated with oral anticoagulation. We randomly split the patients into derivation and validation sets by a ratio of 7:3. In the derivation set, we used outcome‐driven patient clustering with metric learning to group patients into clusters with different risk levels of ischemic stroke and systemic embolism, and identify clusters of patients with low risks. Then we tested the results in the validation set, using the clustering rules generated from the derivation set. Finally, the survival decision tree was applied as a sensitivity analysis to confirm the results. Results: Up to the follow‐up of 1 year, 140 thromboembolic events (ischemic stroke or systemic embolism) occurred. After supervised metric learning from six variables involved in CHA2DS2‐VASc scheme, we identified a cluster of patients (255/3035, 8.4%) at an annual thromboembolism risk of 0.8% in the derivation set. None of the patients in the low‐risk cluster had prior thromboembolism, heart failure, diabetes, or age older than 70 years. After applying the regularities from metric learning on the validation set, we also identified a cluster of patients (137/1302, 10.5%) with an incident thromboembolism rate of 0.7%. Sensitivity analysis based on the survival decision tree approach selected a subgroup of patients with the same phenotypes as the metric‐learning algorithm. Conclusions: Cluster analysis identified a distinct clinical phenotype at low risk of stroke among high‐risk [CHA2DS2‐VASc≥2 (3 for females)] patients with AF. The use of the novel analytic approach has the potential to prevent a subset of AF patients from unnecessary anticoagulation and avoid the associated risk of major bleeding.
      pubtype: Academic Journal
      doctype:
        research
        tables/charts
        Journal Article
      ougenre: Article
    language: English
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