Motivating a Scientific Modeling Continuum: The Case of "Natural Models" in the COVID-19 Pandemic.

The COVID-19 global pandemic had a profound effect on scientific practice. During this time, officials crucially relied on the work done by modelers. This raises novel questions for the philosophy of science. Here I investigate the possibility of 'natural models' in predicting the SARS-Cov-2 virus's...

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Detalles Bibliográficos
Publicado en:Philosophy of Science Vol. 90; no. 4; pp. 880 - 901
Autor principal: Nefdt, Ryan M.
Formato: Artículo
Publicado: Cambridge University Press Oct2023
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Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
Descripción
Sumario:The COVID-19 global pandemic had a profound effect on scientific practice. During this time, officials crucially relied on the work done by modelers. This raises novel questions for the philosophy of science. Here I investigate the possibility of 'natural models' in predicting the SARS-Cov-2 virus's trajectory for epidemiological purposes. I argue that to the extent that these can be considered scientific models, they support the possibility of a continuum from scientific models to natural models differing in artifactual commitment. In making my case, I draw from work on both model organisms and natural experiments as well as recent work in epidemiology.