Fighting in Cyberspace: Internet Access and the Substitutability of Cyber and Military Operations.

Pundits debate whether conflict in cyberspace is more likely to trigger or preempt conflict in other domains. We consider a third possibility. Rather than directly complementing or substituting for traditional forms of conflict, the Internet could separately affect both virtual and kinetic dispute b...

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Published in:Journal of Conflict Resolution Vol. 68; no. 1; pp. 80 - 108
Main Authors: Kostyuk, Nadiya, Gartzke, Erik
Format: Article
Published: Sage Publications Inc. Jan2024
Subjects:
Online Access:View this record in EBSCOhost
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      dt: Jan2024
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        10.1177/00220027231160993
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        atl: Fighting in Cyberspace: Internet Access and the Substitutability of Cyber and Military Operations.
      aug:
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          Kostyuk, Nadiya
          Gartzke, Erik
        affil:
          School of Public Policy and School of Cybersecurity and Privacy, Georgia Institute of Technology, USA
          University of California, San Diego, La Jolla, CA, USA
      su:
        Internet access
        Aggression (Psychology)
        Balance of power
        Cyberbullying
        Cyberspace
      sug:
        subj:
          Internet access
          Aggression (Psychology)
          Balance of power
          Cyberbullying
          Cyberspace
      keyword:
        (cyber) conflict
        complementarity
        independence
        substitutability
        (cyber) conflict
        complementarity
        independence
        substitutability
      ab: Pundits debate whether conflict in cyberspace is more likely to trigger or preempt conflict in other domains. We consider a third possibility. Rather than directly complementing or substituting for traditional forms of conflict, the Internet could separately affect both virtual and kinetic dispute behavior. Specifically, we argue that a country's increasing Internet access causes it to engage in aggressive cyberspace behavior more often. At the same time, economic and social changes associated with the information age reduce the utility of pursuing more traditional forms of conflict. Cyberspace offers an attractive domain in which to shape the balance of power, interests, and information in a technological era, while territorial conquest has become somewhat anachronistic. We test our theory using an innovative estimation approach, applied to panel data on cyber versus conventional disputes. Our findings confirm this indirect substitutability between cyber and conventional conflict.
      pubtype: Academic Journal
      doctype: Article
      src: R
    language: English
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