Prediction of Repeated Self-Harm in Six Months: Comparison of Traditional Psychometrics With Random Forest Algorithm.

Suicidal risk has been a significant mental health problem. However, the predictive ability for repeated self-harm (SH) has not improved over the past decades. This study thus aimed to explore a potential tool with theoretical accommodation and clinical application by employing traditional logistic...

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Publicado en:Omega: Journal of Death & Dying Vol. 88; no. 4; pp. 1403 - 1430
Autores principales: Chen, Shu-Chin, Huang, Hui-Chun, Liu, Shen-Ing, Chen, Sue-Huei
Formato: Artículo
Publicado: Sage Publications Inc. Mar2024
Materias:
Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
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      dt: Mar2024
      vid: 88
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      pub: Sage Publications Inc.
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        10.1177/00302228211060596
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        atl: Prediction of Repeated Self-Harm in Six Months: Comparison of Traditional Psychometrics With Random Forest Algorithm.
      aug:
        au:
          Chen, Shu-Chin
          Huang, Hui-Chun
          Liu, Shen-Ing
          Chen, Sue-Huei
        affil:
          Department of Psychology, 33561 National Taiwan University, Taipei, Taiwan
          Suicide Prevention Center, 36897 MacKay Memorial Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan
          Department of Medical Research, 36897 MacKay Memorial Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan
          63360 MacKay Junior College of Medicine, Nursing and Management, Taipei, Taiwan
          Department of Psychiatry, 36897 MacKay Memorial Hospital, Taipei, Taiwan
      su:
        Suicide risk factors
        Psychometrics
        Self-mutilation
        Confidence intervals
        Random forest algorithms
        Machine learning
        Risk assessment
        Comparative studies
        Descriptive statistics
        Prediction models
        Logistic regression analysis
        Algorithms
      sug:
        subj:
          Suicide risk factors
          Psychometrics
          Self-mutilation
          Confidence intervals
          Random forest algorithms
          Machine learning
          Risk assessment
          Comparative studies
          Descriptive statistics
          Prediction models
          Logistic regression analysis
          Algorithms
      keyword:
        machine learning
        random forest
        self-harm
        self-injury
        suicide
        machine learning
        random forest
        self-harm
        self-injury
        suicide
      ab: Suicidal risk has been a significant mental health problem. However, the predictive ability for repeated self-harm (SH) has not improved over the past decades. This study thus aimed to explore a potential tool with theoretical accommodation and clinical application by employing traditional logistic regression (LR) and newly developed machine learning, random forest algorithm (RF). Starting with 89 items from six commonly used scales (i.e., proximal suicide risk factors) as preliminary predictors, both LR and RF resulted in a better solution with much fewer items in two phases of item selections and analyses, with prediction accuracy 88.6% and 79.8%, respectively. A combination with 12 selected items, named LR-12, well predicted repeated self-harm in 6-month follow-up with satisfactory performance (AUC = 0.84, 95% CI: 0.76–0.92; cut-off point by 1/2 with sensitivity 81.1% and specificity 74.0%). The psychometrically appealing LR-12 could be used as a screening scale for suicide risk assessment.
      pubtype: Academic Journal
      doctype: Article
      src: R
    language: English
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