Seasonal variation of Covid-19 incidence and role of land surface and air temperatures: a case study in the west of Iran.

.In this study, we assessed the impact of satellite-based Land Surface Temperature (LST) and Air Temperature (AT) on covid-19. First, we spatio-temporally kriged the LST and applied bias correction. The epidemic shape, timing, and size were compared after and before adjusting for the predictors. Giv...

Descripción completa

Detalles Bibliográficos
Publicado en:International Journal of Environmental Health Research Vol. 34; no. 3; pp. 1342 - 1355
Autores principales: Maleki, Afshin, Aboubakri, Omid, Rezaee, Reza, Alahmad, Barrak, Sera, Francesco
Formato: equations & formulas research tables/charts Journal Article
Publicado: Taylor & Francis Ltd Mar2024
Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
Descripción
Sumario:.In this study, we assessed the impact of satellite-based Land Surface Temperature (LST) and Air Temperature (AT) on covid-19. First, we spatio-temporally kriged the LST and applied bias correction. The epidemic shape, timing, and size were compared after and before adjusting for the predictors. Given the non-linear behavior of a pandemic, a semi-parametric regression model was used. In addition, the interaction effect between the predictors and season was assessed. Before adjusting for the predictors, the peak happened at the end of hot season. After adjusting, it was attenuated and slightly moved forward. Moreover, the Attributable Fraction (AF) and Peak to Trough Relative (PTR) were % 23 (95% CI; 15, 32) and 1.62 (95%CI; 1.34, 1.97), respectively. We found that temperature might have changed the seasonal variation of covid-19. However, given the large uncertainty after adjusting for the variables, it was hard to provide conclusive evidence in the region we studied.