Diving into a pool of data: Using principal component analysis to optimize performance prediction in women's short-course swimming.

This study aimed to optimise performance prediction in short-course swimming through Principal Component Analyses (PCA) and multiple regression. All women's freestyle races at the European Short-Course Swimming Championships were analysed. Established performance metrics were obtained including star...

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Publicado en:Journal of Sports Sciences Vol. 42; no. 6; pp. 519 - 527
Autores principales: Staunton, Craig A., Romann, Michael, Björklund, Glenn, Born, Dennis-Peter
Formato: research tables/charts Journal Article
Publicado: Taylor & Francis Ltd Mar2024
Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
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      dt: Mar2024
      vid: 42
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      pub: Taylor & Francis Ltd
      place: Philadelphia, Pennsylvania
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        10.1080/02640414.2024.2346670
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        atl: Diving into a pool of data: Using principal component analysis to optimize performance prediction in women's short-course swimming.
      aug:
        au:
          Staunton, Craig A.
          Romann, Michael
          Björklund, Glenn
          Born, Dennis-Peter
        affil: Swedish Winter Sports Research Centre, Department of Health Sciences, Mid Sweden University, Östersund, Sweden
      sug:
        subj:
          Factor Analysis
          Swimming
          Time Factors
          Prediction Models
          Task Performance and Analysis
          Human
          Female
          Multiple Linear Regression
          Descriptive Statistics
          Confidence Intervals
          Data Analysis
          Probability
          Female
      ab: This study aimed to optimise performance prediction in short-course swimming through Principal Component Analyses (PCA) and multiple regression. All women's freestyle races at the European Short-Course Swimming Championships were analysed. Established performance metrics were obtained including start, free-swimming, and turn performance metrics. PCA were conducted to reduce redundant variables, and a multiple linear regression was performed where the criterion was swimming time. A practical tool, the Potential Predictor, was developed from regression equations to facilitate performance prediction. Bland and Altman analyses with 95% limits of agreement (95% LOA) were used to assess agreement between predicted and actual swimming performance. There was a very strong agreement between predicted and actual swimming performance. The mean bias for all race distances was less than 0.1s with wider LOAs for the 800 m (95% LOA −7.6 to + 7.7s) but tighter LOAs for the other races (95% LOAs −0.6 to + 0.6s). Free-Swimming Speed (FSS) and turn performance were identified as Key Performance Indicators (KPIs) in the longer distance races (200 m, 400 m, 800 m). Start performance emerged as a KPI in sprint races (50 m and 100 m). The successful implementation of PCA and multiple regression provides coaches with a valuable tool to uncover individual potential and empowers data-driven decision-making in athlete training.
      pubtype: Academic Journal
      doctype:
        research
        tables/charts
        Journal Article
      ougenre: Article
    language: English
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