Tell me what you don't know: large language models and the pathologies of intelligence analysis.
This article serves as a warning. Prompted by the likely increase in the reliance on artificial intelligence (AI) in intelligence analysis, it raises grave concerns about the prospect of relying on large language models (LLMs), including in high-stakes contexts such as the state-level resort-to-forc...
| Publicado en: | Australian Journal of International Affairs Vol. 78; no. 2; pp. 220 - 229 |
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| Formato: | Artículo |
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Taylor & Francis Ltd
Apr2024
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| Acceso en línea: | Ver este registro en EBSCOhost |
| fields | @attributes: recordID: 1 pdfLink: plink: https://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&db=hlh&AN=177593937&site=ehost-live header: @attributes: shortDbName: hlh uiTerm: 177593937 longDbName: Humanities International Complete uiTag: AN controlInfo: bkinfo: jinfo: jid: 10357718 UAF jtl: Australian Journal of International Affairs issn: 10357718 maglogo: Y pubinfo: dt: Apr2024 vid: 78 iid: 2 pid: 377 pub: Taylor & Francis Ltd artinfo: ui: 177593937 10.1080/10357718.2024.2331733 ppf: 220 ppct: 9 formats: fmt: – @attributes: type: T – @attributes: type: P size: 711KB tig: atl: Tell me what you don't know: large language models and the pathologies of intelligence analysis. aug: au: Logan, Sarah affil: Department of International Relations, Australian National University, Canberra, Australia su: Language models Artificial intelligence Tombs Institutional environment sug: subj: Language models Artificial intelligence Tombs Institutional environment keyword: Artificial intelligence (AI) intelligence analysis large language models ab: This article serves as a warning. Prompted by the likely increase in the reliance on artificial intelligence (AI) in intelligence analysis, it raises grave concerns about the prospect of relying on large language models (LLMs), including in high-stakes contexts such as the state-level resort-to-force decision making that is the focus of this special issue. It begins by identifying the twin informational pathologies that intelligence analysis is subject to by its very nature: information scarcity and epistemic scarcity. It goes on to argue that the use of LLMs would compound these pathologies, attributing this risk to the nature of the international information landscape, especially the rise of private actors in data markets and the changed intelligence environment in the years following September 11. The article concludes by making recommendations for possible responses to the informational risks engendered by the use of LLMs in intelligence analysis, especially in high-stakes contexts. pubtype: Academic Journal doctype: Article src: R language: English refInfo: copyright: @attributes: flag: Y custom: Copyright of Australian Journal of International Affairs is the property of Taylor & Francis Ltd and its content may not be copied or emailed to multiple sites without the copyright holder's express written permission. Additionally, content may not be used with any artificial intelligence tools or machine learning technologies. However, users may print, download, or email articles for individual use. item: Australian Journal of International Affairs holder: Taylor & Francis Ltd dt: @attributes: year: 2024 holdings: @attributes: islocal: N |
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