A Statistical Analysis of the Impact of Gun Ownership on Mass Shootings in the USA Between 2013 and 2022.

Mass shootings (incidents with four or more people shot in a single event, not including the shooter) are becoming more frequent in the United States, posing a significant threat to public health and safety in the country. In the current study, we intended to analyze the impact of state-level preval...

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Publicado en:Journal of Urban Health Vol. 101; no. 3; pp. 571 - 584
Autores principales: Daraklis, Madison, Pol, Mehul, Johnson, Lindsey, Salvatora, Cianna, Kerns, Lucy
Formato: Artículo
Publicado: Springer Nature Jun2024
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Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
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      dt: Jun2024
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        atl: A Statistical Analysis of the Impact of Gun Ownership on Mass Shootings in the USA Between 2013 and 2022.
      aug:
        au:
          Daraklis, Madison
          Pol, Mehul
          Johnson, Lindsey
          Salvatora, Cianna
          Kerns, Lucy
        affil:
          Department of Mathematics, Westminster College, New Wilmington, PA, USA
          https://ror.org/0153tk833 Department of Statistics, The University of Virginia, Charlottesville, VA, USA
          https://ror.org/01srpnj69 Department of Mathematics, Wellesley College, Wellesley, MA, USA
          https://ror.org/038zf2n28 Department of Mathematics & Statistics, Youngstown State University, One University Plaza, 44555, Youngstown, OH, USA
      su:
        Mass shootings
        Single people
        Public safety
        Mass casualties
        Firearms ownership
      sug:
        subj:
          Mass shootings
          Single people
          Public safety
          Mass casualties
          Firearms ownership
      keyword:
        Gun ownership
        Mass shooting fatalities
        Mass shooting incidents
        Negative binomial generalized linear mixed model
        Gun ownership
        Mass shooting fatalities
        Mass shooting incidents
        Negative binomial generalized linear mixed model
      ab: Mass shootings (incidents with four or more people shot in a single event, not including the shooter) are becoming more frequent in the United States, posing a significant threat to public health and safety in the country. In the current study, we intended to analyze the impact of state-level prevalence of gun ownership on mass shootings—both the frequency and severity of these events. We applied the negative binomial generalized linear mixed model to investigate the association between gun ownership rate, as measured by a proxy (i.e., the proportion of suicides committed with firearms to total suicides), and population-adjusted rates of mass shooting incidents and fatalities at the state level from 2013 to 2022. Gun ownership was found to be significantly associated with the rate of mass shooting fatalities. Specifically, our model indicated that for every 1-SD increase—that is, for every 12.5% increase—in gun ownership, the rate of mass shooting fatalities increased by 34% (p value < 0.001). However, no significant association was found between gun ownership and rate of mass shooting incidents. These findings suggest that restricting gun ownership (and therefore reducing availability to guns) may not decrease the number of mass shooting events, but it may save lives when these events occur.
      pubtype: Academic Journal
      doctype: Article
      src: R
    language: English
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