Select or adjust? How information from early treatment stages boosts the prediction of non-response in internet-based depression treatment.

Background: Internet-based interventions produce comparable effectiveness rates as face-to-face therapy in treating depression. Still, more than half of patients do not respond to treatment. Machine learning (ML) methods could help to overcome these low response rates by predicting therapy outcomes...

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Publicado en:Psychological Medicine Vol. 54; no. 8; pp. 1641 - 1651
Autores principales: Hammelrath, Leona, Hilbert, Kevin, Heinrich, Manuel, Zagorscak, Pavle, Knaevelsrud, Christine
Formato: research tables/charts Journal Article
Publicado: Cambridge University Press Jun2024
Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
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      dt: Jun2024
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      pub: Cambridge University Press
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        atl: Select or adjust? How information from early treatment stages boosts the prediction of non-response in internet-based depression treatment.
      aug:
        au:
          Hammelrath, Leona
          Hilbert, Kevin
          Heinrich, Manuel
          Zagorscak, Pavle
          Knaevelsrud, Christine
        affil: Department of Education and Psychology, Freie Universität Berlin, Berlin, Germany
      sug:
        subj:
          Internet-Based Intervention Utilization
          Depression Therapy
          Early Intervention
          Human
          Male
          Female
          Adult
          Middle Age
          Random Forest
          Algorithms
          Self Report
          Logistic Regression
          Questionnaires
          Therapeutic Alliance
          Prediction Models
          Benchmarking
          Scales
          ROC Curve
          Adult: 19-44 years
          Middle Aged: 45-64 years
          Male
          Female
      ab: Background: Internet-based interventions produce comparable effectiveness rates as face-to-face therapy in treating depression. Still, more than half of patients do not respond to treatment. Machine learning (ML) methods could help to overcome these low response rates by predicting therapy outcomes on an individual level and tailoring treatment accordingly. Few studies implemented ML algorithms in internet-based depression treatment using baseline self-report data, but differing results hinder inferences on clinical practicability. This work compares algorithms using features gathered at baseline or early in treatment in their capability to predict non-response to a 6-week online program targeting depression. Methods: Our training and test sample encompassed 1270 and 318 individuals, respectively. We trained random forest algorithms on self-report and process features gathered at baseline and after 2 weeks of treatment. Non-responders were defined as participants not fulfilling the criteria for reliable and clinically significant change on PHQ-9 post-treatment. Our benchmark models were logistic regressions trained on baseline PHQ-9 sum or PHQ-9 early change, using 100 iterations of randomly sampled 80/20 train-test-splits. Results: Best performances were reached by our models involving early treatment characteristics (recall: 0.75–0.76; AUC: 0.71–0.77). Therapeutic alliance and early symptom change constituted the most important predictors. Models trained on baseline data were not significantly better than our benchmark. Conclusions: Fair accuracies were only attainable by involving information from early treatment stages. In-treatment adaptation, instead of a priori selection, might constitute a more feasible approach for improving response when relying on easily accessible self-report features. Implementation trials are needed to determine clinical usefulness.
      pubtype: Academic Journal
      doctype:
        research
        tables/charts
        Journal Article
      ougenre: Article
    language: English
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