A safety estimand for late phase clinical trials where the analysis period varies over the subjects.

Background/Aims: Evaluating safety is as important as evaluating efficacy in a clinical trial, yet the tradition for safety analysis is rudimentary. This article explores more complex methodologies for safety evaluation, with the aim of improving the interpretability, as well as generalizability, of...

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Publicado en:Clinical Trials Vol. 21; no. 4; pp. 483 - 491
Autores principales: Hedman, Katarina, Lisovskaja, Vera, Nyström, Per
Formato: tables/charts Journal Article
Publicado: Sage Publications, Ltd. Aug2024
Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
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      dt: Aug2024
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      pub: Sage Publications, Ltd.
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        10.1177/17407745241230933
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        atl: A safety estimand for late phase clinical trials where the analysis period varies over the subjects.
      aug:
        au:
          Hedman, Katarina
          Lisovskaja, Vera
          Nyström, Per
        affil: Biometrics, Late-stage Development, Cardiovascular, Renal and Metabolism (CVRM), BioPharmaceuticals R&D, AstraZeneca Gothenburg, Mölndal, Sweden
      sug:
        subj:
          Clinical Trials
          Research Subjects
          Patient Safety Evaluation
          Research Methodology
          Quality Improvement
          Data Analysis, Statistical
          Conceptual Framework
          Adverse Drug Event Risk Factors
          Cardiovascular Diseases
          Metabolic Diseases
          Treatment Termination
          Kaplan-Meier Estimator
      ab: Background/Aims: Evaluating safety is as important as evaluating efficacy in a clinical trial, yet the tradition for safety analysis is rudimentary. This article explores more complex methodologies for safety evaluation, with the aim of improving the interpretability, as well as generalizability, of the results. Methods: For studies where the analysis periods vary over the subjects, using the International Council for Harmonisation estimand framework, we construct a formal estimand that could be used in the setting of safety surveillance that answers the clinical question of 'What is the magnitude of the increase in risk of experiencing an adverse event if the treatment is taken, as prescribed, for a specific period of time?'. Estimation methodologies for this estimand are also discussed. Results: The proposed estimand is similar to that found in the efficacy analyses of time to event data (e.g. in outcome studies), with the key difference of utilization of hypothetical intercurrent event strategy for the intercurrent event of treatment discontinuation. This is motivated by what we perceive to be a key difference for the safety objective compared to efficacy objectives, namely a desire for sensitivity (i.e. greater possibility of detecting a negative impact of the drug, if such exists) as opposed to the need to prove a positive effect of the drug in a conservative manner. Conclusion: It is valuable, and possible, to use the International Council for Harmonisation estimand framework not only for efficacy but also for safety evaluation, with the estimand driven by an interpretable, and relevant, clinical question.
      pubtype: Academic Journal
      doctype:
        tables/charts
        Journal Article
      ougenre: Article
    language: English
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