Risk assessment and categorization of terrorist attacks based on the Global Terrorism Database from 1970 to 2020.

Risk assessment and categorization of terrorist attacks can assist enhance awareness of terrorism and give crucial information support for anti-terrorism efforts. This study utilizes quantitative approaches for the risk assessment and categorization of terrorist attacks. A total of 210,454 terrorist...

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Publicado en:Humanities & Social Sciences Communications Vol. 11; no. 1; pp. 1 - 15
Autores principales: Xu, Zonghuang, Lin, Yao, Cai, Hongyu, Zhang, Wei, Shi, Jin, Situ, Lingyun
Formato: Artículo
Publicado: Springer Nature 8/28/2024
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Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
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      dt: 8/28/2024
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      pub: Springer Nature
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        atl: Risk assessment and categorization of terrorist attacks based on the Global Terrorism Database from 1970 to 2020.
      aug:
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          Xu, Zonghuang
          Lin, Yao
          Cai, Hongyu
          Zhang, Wei
          Shi, Jin
          Situ, Lingyun
        affil:
          https://ror.org/01rxvg760 School of Information Management, Nanjing University, 210023, Nanjing, China
          https://ror.org/01rxvg760 School of Geography and Ocean Science, Nanjing University, 210023, Nanjing, China
      su:
        Databases
        Probability density function
        Risk assessment
        Consciousness raising
        Estimation theory
        Social stability
        September 11 Terrorist Attacks, 2001
        Terrorism
        South Asia
        Middle East
        North Africa
      sug:
        subj:
          South Asia
          Middle East
          North Africa
          Databases
          Probability density function
          Risk assessment
          Consciousness raising
          Estimation theory
          Social stability
          September 11 Terrorist Attacks, 2001
          Terrorism
      ab: Risk assessment and categorization of terrorist attacks can assist enhance awareness of terrorism and give crucial information support for anti-terrorism efforts. This study utilizes quantitative approaches for the risk assessment and categorization of terrorist attacks. A total of 210,454 terrorist attacks that occurred worldwide from 1970 through 2020 were collected in the Global Terrorism Database, and 22 indicators related to the risk of terrorist attacks were selected. Then, the moment estimation theory and four comprehensive evaluation models were utilized to identify the top 10 riskiest terrorist attacks in the world. Furthermore, the five clustering analysis methods and three evaluation criteria were performed for the risk categorization of terrorist attacks, and the visual analysis was carried out using the kernel density estimation method. The research results have identified the top 10 riskiest global terrorist attacks, which were led by the September 11 terrorist attack event, along with their downward counterfactual events. The spatial distribution of global terrorist attack risk is primarily composed of four "turbulent cores" in the region of Central Asia, Middle East & North Africa, South Asia, and Central America & Caribbean. This study also provided insights and recommendations for anti-terrorism efforts. It has realized the risk assessment and categorization of terrorist attacks, aiding in the swift identification of its risk levels, and holds immense significance for safeguarding global national security and societal stability under new circumstances.
      pubtype: Academic Journal
      doctype: Article
      src: R
    language: English
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