Modeling the potential impact of a sugar-sweetened beverage tax on ischemic heart disease and stroke in Brazil.
Background A high intake of sugar-sweetened beverages (SSBs) is associated with the risk of several chronic diseases, including ischemic heart disease (IHD) and stroke. This study aimed to model the impact of a 20% tax on all SSBs for IHD and stroke among Brazilian adults. Methods This was an ex-ant...
| Publicado en: | Journal of Public Health Vol. 46; no. 3; pp. 357 - 366 |
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| Autores principales: | , , |
| Formato: | research tables/charts Journal Article |
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Oxford University Press / USA
Sep2024
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| Acceso en línea: | Ver este registro en EBSCOhost |
| fields | @attributes: recordID: 1 pdfLink: plink: https://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&db=ccm&AN=179324493&site=ehost-live header: @attributes: shortDbName: ccm uiTerm: 179324493 longDbName: CINAHL Complete uiTag: AN controlInfo: bkinfo: dissinfo: jinfo: jid: 17413842 1CA0 jtl: Journal of Public Health issn: 17413842 maglogo: N pubinfo: dt: Sep2024 vid: 46 iid: 3 pid: 622 pub: Oxford University Press / USA artinfo: ui: 179324493 179324493 179324493 10.1093/pubmed/fdae074 179324493 ppf: 357 ppct: 9 formats: fmt: – @attributes: type: T – @attributes: type: P tig: atl: Modeling the potential impact of a sugar-sweetened beverage tax on ischemic heart disease and stroke in Brazil. aug: au: Rinaldi, Ana Elisa M Nucci, Luciana Bertoldi Enes, Carla Cristina affil: School of Medicine, Postgraduate Program in Health Sciences, Federal University of Uberlândia (FAMED-UFU) , 1720, Pará Avenue, Block 2U, Uberlândia, MG 38400-902 , Brazil sug: subj: Health Policy Brazil Taxes Sweetened Beverages Adverse Effects Myocardial Ischemia Risk Factors Stroke Risk Factors Risk Assessment Human Funding Source Brazil Male Female Adult Middle Age Aged Aged, 80 and Over Comparative Studies Surveys Sensitivity and Specificity Descriptive Statistics Myocardial Ischemia Prevention and Control Stroke Prevention and Control Adult: 19-44 years Middle Aged: 45-64 years Aged: 65+ years Aged, 80 & over Male Female ab: Background A high intake of sugar-sweetened beverages (SSBs) is associated with the risk of several chronic diseases, including ischemic heart disease (IHD) and stroke. This study aimed to model the impact of a 20% tax on all SSBs for IHD and stroke among Brazilian adults. Methods This was an ex-ante risk comparative study. The model applied a 20% tax on SSBs and projected the incidence, prevalence and mortality of IHD and stroke over a 20-year period (2019–39). Using data on consumption, previously published cross- and own-price elasticities of SSBs, and relative risk, we estimated changes in IHD and stroke burden. Results Our model predicts that a 20% SSB tax may reduce new cases of IHD by ~13%, especially among women, and avert ~8% of the deaths attributable to IHD over 20 years. These results represent a decrease of 19 543 new cases and 8466 and 7274 fewer deaths in the period for men and women, respectively. Estimates of reduction in incidence, prevalence and deaths from stroke were not significant over 20 years. Conclusions Even under conservative assumptions, our study found that a small reduction in SSB consumption led to a substantial decrease in IHD incidence and mortality in Brazil. pubtype: Academic Journal doctype: research tables/charts Journal Article ougenre: Article language: English refInfo: holdings: @attributes: islocal: N |
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