New horizons in prediction modelling using machine learning in older people's healthcare research.

Machine learning (ML) and prediction modelling have become increasingly influential in healthcare, providing critical insights and supporting clinical decisions, particularly in the age of big data. This paper serves as an introductory guide for health researchers and readers interested in predictio...

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Bibliographic Details
Published in:Age & Ageing Vol. 53; no. 9; pp. 1 - 12
Main Author: Stahl, Daniel
Format: Article
Published: Oxford University Press / USA Sep2024
Subjects:
Online Access:View this record in EBSCOhost
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      dt: Sep2024
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      pub: Oxford University Press / USA
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        10.1093/ageing/afae201
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        atl: New horizons in prediction modelling using machine learning in older people's healthcare research.
      aug:
        au: Stahl, Daniel
        affil: Department of Biostatistics and Health Informatics, Institute of Psychiatry, Psychology & Neuroscience, King's College London , London, UK
      su:
        Old age
        Prediction models
        Database management
        Machine learning
        Individualized medicine
        Medical care for older people
        Algorithms
      sug:
        subj:
          Old age
          Data Processing, Hosting, and Related Services
          Prediction models
          Database management
          Machine learning
          Individualized medicine
          Medical care for older people
          Algorithms
      keyword:
        machine learning
        older adult
        older people
        precision medicine
        prediction modelling
        machine learning
        older adult
        older people
        precision medicine
        prediction modelling
      ab: Machine learning (ML) and prediction modelling have become increasingly influential in healthcare, providing critical insights and supporting clinical decisions, particularly in the age of big data. This paper serves as an introductory guide for health researchers and readers interested in prediction modelling and explores how these technologies support clinical decisions, particularly with big data, and covers all aspects of the development, assessment and reporting of a model using ML. The paper starts with the importance of prediction modelling for precision medicine. It outlines different types of prediction and machine learning approaches, including supervised, unsupervised and semi-supervised learning, and provides an overview of popular algorithms for various outcomes and settings. It also introduces key theoretical ML concepts. The importance of data quality, preprocessing and unbiased model performance evaluation is highlighted. Concepts of apparent, internal and external validation will be introduced along with metrics for discrimination and calibration for different types of outcomes. Additionally, the paper addresses model interpretation, fairness and implementation in clinical practice. Finally, the paper provides recommendations for reporting and identifies common pitfalls in prediction modelling and machine learning. The aim of the paper is to help readers understand and critically evaluate research papers that present ML models and to serve as a first guide for developing, assessing and implementing their own.
      pubtype: Academic Journal
      doctype: Article
      src: R
    language: English
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