Bayesian hierarchical modeling and inference for mechanistic systems in industrial hygiene.

A series of experiments in stationary and moving passenger rail cars were conducted to measure removal rates of particles in the size ranges of SARS-CoV-2 viral aerosols and the air changes per hour provided by existing and modified air handling systems. Such methods for exposure assessments are cus...

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Publicado en:Annals of Work Exposures & Health Vol. 68; no. 8; pp. 834 - 846
Autores principales: Pan, Soumyakanti, Das, Darpan, Ramachandran, Gurumurthy, Banerjee, Sudipto
Formato: equations & formulas research tables/charts Journal Article
Publicado: Oxford University Press / USA Oct2024
Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
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        atl: Bayesian hierarchical modeling and inference for mechanistic systems in industrial hygiene.
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        au:
          Pan, Soumyakanti
          Das, Darpan
          Ramachandran, Gurumurthy
          Banerjee, Sudipto
        affil: Department of Biostatistics, University of California Los Angeles , 650 Charles E. Young Drive South, Los Angeles, CA 90095-1772 , United States
      sug:
        subj:
          Models, Statistical
          Occupational Health
          Hygiene
          Aerosols
          Human
          Funding Source
          Experimental Studies
          Descriptive Statistics
      ab: A series of experiments in stationary and moving passenger rail cars were conducted to measure removal rates of particles in the size ranges of SARS-CoV-2 viral aerosols and the air changes per hour provided by existing and modified air handling systems. Such methods for exposure assessments are customarily based on mechanistic models derived from physical laws of particle movement that are deterministic and do not account for measurement errors inherent in data collection. The resulting analysis compromises on reliably learning about mechanistic factors such as ventilation rates, aerosol generation rates, and filtration efficiencies from field measurements. This manuscript develops a Bayesian state-space modeling framework that synthesizes information from the mechanistic system as well as the field data. We derive a stochastic model from finite difference approximations of differential equations explaining particle concentrations. Our inferential framework trains the mechanistic system using the field measurements from the chamber experiments and delivers reliable estimates of the underlying physical process with fully model-based uncertainty quantification. Our application falls within the realm of the Bayesian "melding" of mechanistic and statistical models and is of significant relevance to environmental hygienists and public health researchers working on assessing the performance of aerosol removal rates for rail car fleets.
      pubtype: Academic Journal
      doctype:
        equations & formulas
        research
        tables/charts
        Journal Article
      ougenre: Article
    language: English
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