Research on risk prediction model for unplanned return to ICU based on machine learning algorithm.

Objective: To construct a risk prediction model for unplanned return to intensive care unit (ICU) based on machine learning algorithm. Methods: A total of 3 250 ICU patients from a tertiary grade A hospital in Shanxi province from October 12, 2019 to May 21, 2023 were selected as the research subjec...

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Publicado en:Chinese Nursing Research Vol. 38; no. 22; pp. 3976 - 3983
Autores principales: LI Mengke, SUN Yan, LIU Hongqi, QU Jingchen, HOU Ruiqin
Formato: research tables/charts Journal Article
Publicado: Chinese Nursing Research Editorial Office Nov2024
Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
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      dt: Nov2024
      vid: 38
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      pub: Chinese Nursing Research Editorial Office
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        10.12102/j.issn.1009-6493.2024.22.004
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        atl: Research on risk prediction model for unplanned return to ICU based on machine learning algorithm.
      aug:
        au:
          LI Mengke
          SUN Yan
          LIU Hongqi
          QU Jingchen
          HOU Ruiqin
        affil: Shanxi Medical University, Shanxi 030606 China
      sug:
        subj:
          Risk Assessment
          Prediction Models
          Machine Learning
          Algorithms
          Intensive Care Units
          Patient Admission
          Human
          Male
          Female
          China
          Models, Statistical
          Tertiary Health Care China
          Descriptive Statistics
          ROC Curve
          Logistic Regression
          Decision Trees
          Chronic Disease Prognosis
          Hospitalization
          Body Temperature
          Length of Stay
          Creatinine Blood
          Heart Rate
          Neutrophils
          Diastolic Pressure
          Systolic Pressure
          Glasgow Coma Scale
          Scales
          Male
          Female
      ab: Objective: To construct a risk prediction model for unplanned return to intensive care unit (ICU) based on machine learning algorithm. Methods: A total of 3 250 ICU patients from a tertiary grade A hospital in Shanxi province from October 12, 2019 to May 21, 2023 were selected as the research subjects. A risk prediction model for return to ICU was constructed based on multiple machine learning algorithms, and the performance of the models was compared. Analyze the importance ranking of each variable based on the best performing model. Results: The light gradient boosting machine had the best comprehensive performance, with area under the receiver operating characteristic curve (AUROC) of 0.996 8, followed by random forest (AUROC = 0.996 4), gradient boosting decision tree (AUROC = 0. 992 4), adaptive boosting (AUROC = 0.953 0), and Logistic regression (AUROC = 0.814 5). The top 15 variables in the importance ranking based on light gradient boosting machine were K+, blood loss, score of Glasgow Coma Scale, score of Acute Physiology and Chronic Health Evaluation II, Na+, CRP, alcohol consumption history, minimum body temperature, ICU stay time, blood creatinine, minimum heart rate, neutrophil count, minimum diastolic blood pressure, bicarbonate, and maximum systolic blood pressure. Conclusion: The risk prediction models for unplanned return to ICU based on machine learning algorithm performs well. Researchers can use this type of algorithm to establish the risk prediction model to identify high-risk patients, provide targeted intervention measures, and improve the quality of healthcare.
      pubtype: Academic Journal
      doctype:
        research
        tables/charts
        Journal Article
      ougenre: Article
    language: Chinese
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