A Random Forest Algorithm for Assessing Risk Factors Associated With Chronic Kidney Disease: Observational Study.

Background: The prevalence and mortality rate of chronic kidney disease (CKD) are increasing year by year, and it has become a global public health issue. The economic burden caused by CKD is increasing at a rate of 1% per year. CKD is highly prevalent and its treatment cost is high but unfortunatel...

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Published in:Asian Pacific Island Nursing Journal Vol. 8; pp. 1 - 15
Main Authors: Liu, Pei, Liu, Yijun, Liu, Hao, Xiong, Linping, Mei, Changlin, Yuan, Lei
Format: research tables/charts Journal Article
Published: JMIR Publications Inc. 2024
Online Access:View this record in EBSCOhost
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      jtl: Asian Pacific Island Nursing Journal
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      dt: 2024
      vid: 8
      pid: 21567
      pub: JMIR Publications Inc.
      place: Toronto, Ontario
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        10.2196/48378
        182462255
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        atl: A Random Forest Algorithm for Assessing Risk Factors Associated With Chronic Kidney Disease: Observational Study.
      aug:
        au:
          Liu, Pei
          Liu, Yijun
          Liu, Hao
          Xiong, Linping
          Mei, Changlin
          Yuan, Lei
        affil: Department of Mathematics and Physics, Second Military Medical University, Shanghai, China
      sug:
        subj:
          Random Forest
          Risk Assessment
          Renal Insufficiency, Chronic Risk Factors
          Prediction Models
          Human
          Nonexperimental Studies
          Male
          Female
          Insurance, Health
          Middle Age
          Aged
          Aged, 80 and Over
          China
          Health Screening
          Glomerular Filtration Rate
          Albuminuria
          Sex Factors
          Age Factors
          Obesity
          Retirement
          Funding Source
          Middle Aged: 45-64 years
          Aged: 65+ years
          Aged, 80 & over
          Male
          Female
      ab: Background: The prevalence and mortality rate of chronic kidney disease (CKD) are increasing year by year, and it has become a global public health issue. The economic burden caused by CKD is increasing at a rate of 1% per year. CKD is highly prevalent and its treatment cost is high but unfortunately remains unknown. Therefore, early detection and intervention are vital means to mitigate the treatment burden on patients and decrease disease progression. Objective: In this study, we investigated the advantages of using the random forest (RF) algorithm for assessing risk factors associated with CKD. Methods: We included 40,686 people with complete screening records who underwent screening between January 1, 2015, and December 22, 2020, in Jing'an District, Shanghai, China. We grouped the participants into those with and those without CKD by staging based on the glomerular filtration rate staging and grouping based on albuminuria. Using a logistic regression model, we determined the relationship between CKD and risk factors. The RF machine learning algorithm was used to score the predictive variables and rank them based on their importance to construct a prediction model. Results: The logistic regression model revealed that gender, older age, obesity, abnormal index estimated glomerular filtration rate, retirement status, and participation in urban employee medical insurance were significantly associated with the risk of CKD. On RF algorithm–based screening, the top 4 factors influencing CKD were age, albuminuria, working status, and urinary albumin-creatinine ratio. The RF model predicted an area under the receiver operating characteristic curve of 93.15%. Conclusions: Our findings reveal that the RF algorithm has significant predictive value for assessing risk factors associated with CKD and allows the screening of individuals with risk factors. This has crucial implications for early intervention and prevention of CKD.
      pubtype: Academic Journal
      doctype:
        research
        tables/charts
        Journal Article
      ougenre: Article
    language: English
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