Machine learning models for predicting postoperative peritoneal metastasis after hepatocellular carcinoma rupture: a multicenter cohort study in China.

Background Peritoneal metastasis (PM) after the rupture of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a critical issue that negatively affects patient prognosis. Machine learning models have shown great potential in predicting clinical outcomes; however, the optimal model for this specific problem remains un...

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Publicado en:Oncologist Vol. 30; no. 1; pp. 1 - 13
Autores principales: Xia, Feng, Chen, Qian, Liu, Zhicheng, Zhang, Qiao, Guo, Bin, Fan, Feimu, Huang, Zhiyuan, Zheng, Jun, Gao, Hengyi, Xia, Guobing, Ren, Li, Mei, Hongliang, Chen, Xiaoping, Cheng, Qi, Zhang, Bixiang, Zhu, Peng
Formato: research tables/charts Journal Article
Publicado: Oxford University Press / USA Jan2025
Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
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      dt: Jan2025
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      pub: Oxford University Press / USA
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        10.1093/oncolo/oyae341
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        atl: Machine learning models for predicting postoperative peritoneal metastasis after hepatocellular carcinoma rupture: a multicenter cohort study in China.
      aug:
        au:
          Xia, Feng
          Chen, Qian
          Liu, Zhicheng
          Zhang, Qiao
          Guo, Bin
          Fan, Feimu
          Huang, Zhiyuan
          Zheng, Jun
          Gao, Hengyi
          Xia, Guobing
          Ren, Li
          Mei, Hongliang
          Chen, Xiaoping
          Cheng, Qi
          Zhang, Bixiang
          Zhu, Peng
        affil: Department of Hepatic Surgery, Tongji Hospital, Tongji Medical College of Huazhong University of Science and Technology, Wuhan, Hubei, People's Republic of China
      sug:
        subj:
          Machine Learning
          Prediction Models
          Neoplasm Metastasis Risk Factors
          Peritoneal Neoplasms Risk Factors
          Risk Assessment
          Carcinoma, Hepatocellular Complications
          Postoperative Complications
          Carcinoma, Hepatocellular Surgery
          Peritoneal Neoplasms Prognosis
          Human
          Multicenter Studies
          Prospective Studies
          Cancer Patients
          Logistic Regression
          Support Vector Machine
          Classification Algorithms
          Random Forest
          Deep Learning
          Tumor Burden
          Hepatectomy
          alpha Fetoproteins
          Retrospective Design
          Male
          Female
          Middle Age
          Aged
          China
          Middle Aged: 45-64 years
          Aged: 65+ years
          Male
          Female
      ab: Background Peritoneal metastasis (PM) after the rupture of hepatocellular carcinoma (HCC) is a critical issue that negatively affects patient prognosis. Machine learning models have shown great potential in predicting clinical outcomes; however, the optimal model for this specific problem remains unclear. Methods Clinical data were collected and analyzed from 522 patients with ruptured HCC who underwent surgery at 7 different medical centers. Patients were assigned to the training, validation, and test groups in a random manner, with a distribution ratio of 7:1.5:1.5. Overall, 78 (14.9%) patients experienced postoperative PM. Five different types of models, including logistic regression, support vector machines, classification trees, random forests, and deep learning (DL) models, were trained using these data and evaluated based on their receiver operating characteristic curve and area under the curve (AUC) values and F1 scores. Results The DL models achieved the highest AUC values (10-fold training cohort: 0.943, validation set: 0.928, and test set: 0.892) and F1 scores (10-fold training set: 0.917, validation cohort: 0.908, and test set:0.899) The results of the analysis indicate that tumor size, timing of hepatectomy, alpha-fetoprotein levels, and microvascular invasion are the most important predictive factors closely associated with the incidence of postoperative PM. Conclusion The DL model outperformed all other machine learning models in predicting postoperative PM after the rupture of HCC based on clinical data. This model provides valuable information for clinicians to formulate individualized treatment plans that can improve patient outcomes.
      pubtype: Academic Journal
      doctype:
        research
        tables/charts
        Journal Article
      ougenre: Article
    language: English
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