Forecasting tuberculosis incidence: a review of time series and machine learning models for prediction and eradication strategies.

Despite efforts by the World Health Organization (WHO), tuberculosis (TB) remains a leading cause of fatalities globally. This study reviews time series and machine learning models for TB incidence prediction, identifies popular algorithms, and highlights the need for further research to improve acc...

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Publicado en:International Journal of Environmental Health Research Vol. 35; no. 3; pp. 645 - 661
Autores principales: Maipan-Uku, Jamilu Yahaya, Cavus, Nadire
Formato: research systematic review tables/charts Journal Article
Publicado: Taylor & Francis Ltd Mar2025
Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
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        atl: Forecasting tuberculosis incidence: a review of time series and machine learning models for prediction and eradication strategies.
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          Maipan-Uku, Jamilu Yahaya
          Cavus, Nadire
        affil: Department of Computer Science, Ibrahim Badamasi Babangida University, Lapai, Nigeria
      sug:
        subj:
          Tuberculosis Epidemiology
          Time Series
          Machine Learning Algorithms
          Prediction Models
          Human
          Systematic Review
          PubMed
          Gray Literature
          Prediction Algorithms
          Tuberculosis Diagnosis
          Tuberculosis Prevention and Control
          Geographic Factors
          Quality Assessment
          Descriptive Statistics
      ab: Despite efforts by the World Health Organization (WHO), tuberculosis (TB) remains a leading cause of fatalities globally. This study reviews time series and machine learning models for TB incidence prediction, identifies popular algorithms, and highlights the need for further research to improve accuracy and global scope. SCOPUS, PUBMED, IEEE, Web of Science, and PRISMA were used for search and article selection from 2012 to 2023. The results revealed that ARIMA, SARIMA, ETS, GRNN, BPNN, NARNN, NNAR, and RNN are popular time series and ML algorithms adopted for TB incidence rate predictions. The inaccurate TB incidence prediction and limited global scope of prior studies suggest a need for further research. This review serves as a roadmap for the WHO to focus on regions that require more attention for TB prevention and the need for more sophisticated models for TB incidence predictions.
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        systematic review
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      ougenre: Article
    language: English
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