Probability Theory and Causation: A Branching Space-Times Analysis.
We provide a formally rigorous framework for integrating singular causation, as understood by Nuel Belnap's theory of causae causantes, and objective single case probabilities. The central notion is that of a causal probability space whose sample space consists of causal alternatives. Such a probabi...
| Publicado en: | British Journal for the Philosophy of Science Vol. 56; no. 3; pp. 487 - 521 |
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| Formato: | Artículo |
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University of Chicago Press
Sep2005
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| Acceso en línea: | Ver este registro en EBSCOhost |
| Sumario: | We provide a formally rigorous framework for integrating singular causation, as understood by Nuel Belnap's theory of causae causantes, and objective single case probabilities. The central notion is that of a causal probability space whose sample space consists of causal alternatives. Such a probability space is generally not isomorphic to a product space. We give a causally motivated statement of the Markov condition and an analysis of the concept of screening-off. |
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