Fragmented and Dealigned: The 2024 British General Election and the Rise of Place‐Based Politics.

While the outcome of the 2024 British general election signalled a resounding repudiation of the incumbent government—returning a 231‐seat swing from the Conservatives to Labour—it did not radically overturn the geography of electoral outcomes in England and Wales. Indeed, demographic predictors of...

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Publicado en:Political Quarterly Vol. 96; no. 1; pp. 13 - 26
Autores principales: Jennings, Will, Furlong, Jamie, Stoker, Gerry, Mckay, Lawrence
Formato: Artículo
Publicado: Wiley-Blackwell Jan2025
Materias:
Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
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        atl: Fragmented and Dealigned: The 2024 British General Election and the Rise of Place‐Based Politics.
      aug:
        au:
          Jennings, Will
          Furlong, Jamie
          Stoker, Gerry
          Mckay, Lawrence
      su:
        England
        Conservative Party (Great Britain)
        Elections
        Geopolitics
        Demography
        Working class
        Political change
        Conservatives
      sug:
        subj:
          Elections
          Geopolitics
          Demography
          Working class
          Political change
          England
          Conservative Party (Great Britain)
          Conservatives
      keyword:
        British politics
        dealignment
        demographics
        elections
        electoral fragmentation
        electoral geography
        Labour
        marginality
        Reform
        British politics
        dealignment
        demographics
        elections
        electoral fragmentation
        electoral geography
        Labour
        marginality
        Reform
      ab: While the outcome of the 2024 British general election signalled a resounding repudiation of the incumbent government—returning a 231‐seat swing from the Conservatives to Labour—it did not radically overturn the geography of electoral outcomes in England and Wales. Indeed, demographic predictors of party vote for parliamentary constituencies at the aggregate level mostly represented a continuation of recent trends. With the Conservative Party's vote collapsing most in areas where it started highest—and where the Leave vote had been highest in 2016—Labour secured shock victories in relatively affluent parts of southern England as well as retaking all the 'red wall' constituencies in northern England that it lost in 2019, despite its national vote share only increasing slightly. This represented the other end of the 'realignment' observed in 2019: as the electoral tide went out on the Conservatives, the relative weakening of their support in areas with graduates, middle class professionals and mortgage holders came home to roost. The election exposed a fragmented and marginal map, bequeathing a fragile electoral future, despite the Starmer government's large parliamentary majority.
      pubtype: Academic Journal
      doctype: Article
      src: R
    language: English
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