Prediction of Patient Visits for Skin Diseases through Enhanced Evolutionary Computation and Ensemble Learning.

Skin diseases are an important global public health issue, causing significant health and psychological burdens. Predicting dermatology outpatient visits is essential for optimizing hospital resources and improving diagnosis and treatment methods. Based on machine learning technology and ensemble le...

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Publicado en:Journal of Medical Systems Vol. 49; no. 1; pp. 1 - 13
Autores principales: Leng, Wenting, Yang, Chenglin, Kou, Menggang, Zhang, Kequan, Liu, Xinyue
Formato: algorithm equations & formulas research tables/charts Journal Article
Publicado: Springer Nature 4/23/2025
Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
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      dt: 4/23/2025
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      pub: Springer Nature
      place: New York, New York
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        atl: Prediction of Patient Visits for Skin Diseases through Enhanced Evolutionary Computation and Ensemble Learning.
      aug:
        au:
          Leng, Wenting
          Yang, Chenglin
          Kou, Menggang
          Zhang, Kequan
          Liu, Xinyue
        affil: https://ror.org/01mkqqe32 The Second Hospital & Clinical Medical School, Lanzhou University, 730000, Lanzhou, China
      sug:
        subj:
          Algorithms
          Machine Learning Methods
          Ensemble Learning Methods
          Skin Diseases Diagnosis
          Skin Diseases Therapy
          Prediction Models
          Office Visits Evaluation
          Human
          Male
          Female
          Acne Vulgaris Therapy
          Outpatients
          Health Resource Allocation
          Quality Improvement
          Quality of Health Care
          Neural Networks (Computer)
          Time Series
          China
          Case Studies
          Models, Statistical
          Funding Source
          Sensitivity and Specificity
          Data Mining
          Particle Swarm Optimization
          Male
          Female
      ab: Skin diseases are an important global public health issue, causing significant health and psychological burdens. Predicting dermatology outpatient visits is essential for optimizing hospital resources and improving diagnosis and treatment methods. Based on machine learning technology and ensemble learning theory, this study integrates four neural network models to construct an optimal prediction model for daily outpatient visits related to skin diseases. To address the issue of local optima entrapment in sand cat swarm optimization (SCSO), an enhanced SCSO is proposed by incorporating the chaotic mapping, the spiral search strategy, and the sparrow warning mechanism. The enhanced SCSO is then utilized to optimize two critical parameters of variational mode decomposition, enabling the extraction of periodic patterns from the skin disease time series. Finally, the enhanced SCSO is applied again to determine the optimal weights for the ensemble model, thereby achieving optimal fusion predictions. We utilized ten years of outpatient data from the dermatology department of a hospital in China, and selected acne, the most prevalent skin condition in the region, as a case study. Experimental results demonstrate that the proposed model effectively combines the strengths of each module, achieving an root mean squared error (RMSE) of 4.43 and an R-squared (R2) of 0.98. Compared to individual models, the RMSE and R2 are improved by 79.69% and 36.97%, respectively, effectively overcoming the limitations of single-model approaches. This research provides valuable insights for leveraging medical time series data and optimizing healthcare resource allocation.
      pubtype: Academic Journal
      doctype:
        algorithm
        equations & formulas
        research
        tables/charts
        Journal Article
      ougenre: Article
    language: English
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