Changing patterns of climatic risk factors for the transmission of dengue fever in Bangladesh: count model approach.
Aim: Dengue fever, caused by the Dengue virus and spread by mosquitoes, is a major public health concern in many parts of the world, including Bangladesh. Climatic factors, i.e, humidity, temperature, precipitation, and wind speed play a critical role in transmitting dengue fever. Developing efficie...
| Published in: | Journal of Public Health: From Theory to Practice (2198-1833) Vol. 33; no. 8; pp. 1607 - 1617 |
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| Main Authors: | , , |
| Format: | Article |
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Springer Nature
Aug2025
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| Online Access: | View this record in EBSCOhost |
| fields | @attributes: recordID: 1 pdfLink: plink: https://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&db=ssf&AN=186838144&site=ehost-live header: @attributes: shortDbName: ssf uiTerm: 186838144 longDbName: Social Sciences Full Text (H.W. Wilson) uiTag: AN controlInfo: bkinfo: jinfo: jid: 21981833 NENI jtl: Journal of Public Health: From Theory to Practice (2198-1833) issn: 21981833 maglogo: N pubinfo: dt: Aug2025 vid: 33 iid: 8 pid: 237 pub: Springer Nature artinfo: ui: 186838144 10.1007/s10389-023-02137-3 ppf: 1607 ppct: 10 formats: tig: atl: Changing patterns of climatic risk factors for the transmission of dengue fever in Bangladesh: count model approach. aug: au: Karim, Md. Rezaul Sarker, Indrani Bashar, Kabirul affil: https://ror.org/04ywb0864 Department of Statistics, Jahangirnagar University, 1342, Savar, Dhaka, Bangladesh https://ror.org/04ywb0864 Department of Zoology, Jahangirnagar University, 1342, Savar, Dhaka, Bangladesh su: Bangladesh Environmental health Climatology Epidemics Public health Preventive health services Infectious disease transmission Disease risk factors Risk assessment Poisson distribution Research funding Dengue Descriptive statistics Humidity Weather Confidence intervals Epidemiological research sug: subj: Environmental health Climatology Epidemics Public health Preventive health services Infectious disease transmission Disease risk factors Bangladesh Health and Welfare Funds Risk assessment Poisson distribution Research funding Dengue Descriptive statistics Humidity Weather Confidence intervals Epidemiological research keyword: Climatic risk Dengue fever Zero-inflated Conway–Maxwell Poisson Zero-inflated Poisson Zero-truncated Conway–Maxwell Poisson Zero-truncated negative binomial Climatic risk Dengue fever Zero-inflated Conway–Maxwell Poisson Zero-inflated Poisson Zero-truncated Conway–Maxwell Poisson Zero-truncated negative binomial ab: Aim: Dengue fever, caused by the Dengue virus and spread by mosquitoes, is a major public health concern in many parts of the world, including Bangladesh. Climatic factors, i.e, humidity, temperature, precipitation, and wind speed play a critical role in transmitting dengue fever. Developing efficient ways to manage and prevent the spread of the disease requires an understanding of the role that climate risk variables play in this process. The aim of this study is to identify an appropriate model that can precisely determine the way climatic risk factors affect dengue outbreaks. Subjects and methods: The complex relationship between climatic risk factors and dengue transmission was modeled using zero-inflated Conway–Maxwell Poisson regression, zero-inflated Poisson regression, zero-truncated Conway–Maxwell Poisson regression, and zero-truncated negative binomial to aid in the creation of efficient preventative and control measures. Results: According to the results of the Akaike information criterion (AIC) and Bayesian information criterion (BIC), the zero-truncated negative binomial regression model was selected as the best model. Humidity (95% CI: 1.101%, 1.124%), precipitation (95% CI: 0.97%, 0.99%), and wind speed (95% CI: 0.79%, 0.87%) were all found to play a major role in the spread of dengue fever. Conclusion: The findings of this study can be used to guide the development of effective strategies for preventing and controlling dengue outbreaks in Bangladesh and other countries facing similar public health challenges. pubtype: Academic Journal doctype: Article src: R language: English refInfo: copyright: @attributes: flag: N holdings: @attributes: islocal: N |
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