Nurse Staffing Management in the Context of Emergency Departments and Seasonal Respiratory Diseases: An Artificial Intelligence and Discrete-Event Simulation Approach.

Emergency Departments (EDs) usually experience nursing shortages during Seasonal Respiratory Diseases (SRDs). As a result, patient waiting times for medical treatment increase with the consequent overcrowding, high intra-hospital infection rates, and no-shows. Therefore, the nurse staffing must be b...

Descripción completa

Detalles Bibliográficos
Publicado en:Journal of Medical Systems Vol. 49; no. 1; pp. 1 - 20
Autores principales: Ortiz-Barrios, Miguel, Cuenca, Llanos, Arias-Fonseca, Sebastián, McClean, Sally, Pérez-Aguilar, Armando
Formato: equations & formulas pictorial research tables/charts Journal Article
Publicado: Springer Nature 8/16/2025
Acceso en línea:Ver este registro en EBSCOhost
fields @attributes:
  recordID: 1
pdfLink:
plink: https://search.ebscohost.com/login.aspx?direct=true&db=ccm&AN=187385010&site=ehost-live
header:
  @attributes:
    shortDbName: ccm
    uiTerm: 187385010
    longDbName: CINAHL Complete
    uiTag: AN
  controlInfo:
    bkinfo:
    dissinfo:
    jinfo:
      jid:
        01485598
        4N0
      jtl: Journal of Medical Systems
      issn: 01485598
      maglogo: N
    pubinfo:
      dt: 8/16/2025
      vid: 49
      iid: 1
      pid: 237
      pub: Springer Nature
      place: New York, New York
    artinfo:
      ui:
        187385010
        187385010
        187385010
        10.1007/s10916-025-02242-8
        187385010
      ppf: 1
      ppct: 19
      formats:
        fmt:
          – @attributes:
              type: T
          – @attributes:
              type: P
      tig:
        atl: Nurse Staffing Management in the Context of Emergency Departments and Seasonal Respiratory Diseases: An Artificial Intelligence and Discrete-Event Simulation Approach.
      aug:
        au:
          Ortiz-Barrios, Miguel
          Cuenca, Llanos
          Arias-Fonseca, Sebastián
          McClean, Sally
          Pérez-Aguilar, Armando
        affil: https://ror.org/01460j859 Centro de Investigación en Gestión e Ingeniería de Producción (CIGIP), Universitat Politècnica de València, Camino de Vera, s/n, 46022, Valencia, Valencia, Spain
      sug:
        subj:
          Respiratory Tract Infections Nursing
          Nursing Staff, Hospital Labor Supply
          Personnel Staffing and Scheduling Evaluation
          Artificial Intelligence
          Simulations
          Prediction Models
          Emergency Service
          Human
          Boosting Machine Learning Algorithms
          Health Facility Administrators
          Spain
          Sensitivity and Specificity
          Predictive Validity
          Confidence Intervals
          Descriptive Statistics
          ROC Curve
          Waiting Lists
          Funding Source
          Analytic Research
          Analysis of Variance
          Male
          Female
          Adult
          Middle Age
          Length of Stay
          Respiratory Therapy
          Chi Square Test
          Adult: 19-44 years
          Middle Aged: 45-64 years
          Male
          Female
      ab: Emergency Departments (EDs) usually experience nursing shortages during Seasonal Respiratory Diseases (SRDs). As a result, patient waiting times for medical treatment increase with the consequent overcrowding, high intra-hospital infection rates, and no-shows. Therefore, the nurse staffing must be balanced with the projected volume of SRD-related ED admissions to EDs. In this article, we propose merging Artificial Intelligence (AI) and Discrete-Event Simulation (DES) to build remedies that diminish the waiting times for nursing care in mild and severe respiratory-affected patients. We first implemented Extreme Gradient Boosting (XGBoost) to calculate the probability of treatment within the ED wards. Afterwards, we plugged the XGBoost predictions into a simulation model to evaluate whether the current nurse staff was sufficient to ensure the timely treatment of the expected respiratory-affected patients. Ultimately, we pretested three improvement scenarios recommended by the hospital administrators to tackle the imbalance problem. A Spanish ED was involved in the project to validate the suggested approach. The specificity of the predictive AI-based model was 95.97% (CI 95% 93.07% − 97.90%), while the specificity was 82.0% (CI 95% 73.05% − 88.96%). On a different tack, the positive and negative predictive scores corresponded to 87.23% (CI 95% 78.76% − 93.22%) and 94.08% (95% CI 90.80% − 96.45%). Furthermore, the Area Under Receiver Operator Characteristic (AU-ROC) curve was 89.00% (CI 95% 84.46% − 94.78%). Ultimately, the median waiting time for respiratory support use was lessened between 0.88 and 7.51 h after using a new nurse staffing configuration.
      pubtype: Academic Journal
      doctype:
        equations & formulas
        pictorial
        research
        tables/charts
        Journal Article
      ougenre: Article
    language: English
    refInfo:
    holdings:
      @attributes:
        islocal: N